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Planning for success

Leveraging two ecosystem models to support development of an Antarctic marine protected area

Bibliographic Data

ID21520198
AuthorsAdrian Dahood (0000-0001-5346-8537, NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service Southwest Fisheries Science Center), Emily S Klein (0000-0001-9514-7344, Farallon Institute, corresponding author), George M Watters (0000-0002-6989-1273, NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service Southwest Fisheries Science Center)
Year2020
Volume121
Pages104109
Publication date2020-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueMarine Policy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0308-597X • E-ISSN: 1872-9460
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.marpol.2020.104109
OpenAlexW3083053383
LanguageEN
References cited37

Efforts are underway to forward a marine protected area (MPA) in the Western Antarctic Peninsula, guided by an internationally agreed framework of protected area objectives. Preliminary MPA boundaries were evaluated against some of these objectives using a static, map-based process, yet further assessment and additional objectives could be addressed with dynamic approaches. Here, the MPA's evaluation was expanded using the joint application of two published dynamic ecosystem models to further appraise the MPA. These models also considered potential impacts of climate change in the region, and greater insight can be gained from using them together rather than independently. Both models projected the proposed MPA could increase ecosystem viability in the region by reducing potential population declines, especially of penguins. These benefits manifested even when the impacts of climate change occurred over the long term, and likely accrued due to protection of areas important for krill aggregation and predator foraging. Model outcomes also suggested possible improvements to the preliminary MPA boundaries to reinforce these benefits. Using the two structurally distinct models together increased confidence in results and the potential for an MPA to meet multiple policy objectives in the region, and the paper further details the process of translating outcomes into timely decision support for stakeholders. Modelling results were regularly communicated using established formal and informal channels, ensuring model-derived advice directly supported policy needs. Collectively, the work demonstrates the process and value of leveraging existing ecosystem models, quickly adapting models to policy needs, and developing actionable advice for policy makers

Business · Climate change · Ecosystem · Ecosystem model · Ecosystem services · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Habitat · Marine protected area · Population · Coastal and Marine Management · Computer Science · Coral and Marine Ecosystems Studies · Engineering · Environmental Science · Marine and fisheries research · Ecology

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    Open Access•Natalie C Ban, Tammy E Davies et al.•Global Environmental Change•2017

Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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