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Climbing the Coffee Global Value Chain—Three Decades of Trade and Upgrading

Bibliographic Data

ID21594427
AuthorsAoife Hanley (0000-0002-2810-961X, Kiel Institute for the World Economy Kiel Germany), Wan‐Hsin Liu (0000-0002-5025-7213, Kiel Institute for the World Economy Kiel Germany, corresponding author), Finn Ole Semrau (0000-0002-6894-2577, Kiel Institute for the World Economy Kiel Germany), Dennis Görlich (0000-0002-2574-9419, The New Institute Hamburg Germany)
Year2026
Volume38
Issue1
Pages88-111
Publication date2026-01-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of International Development (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0954-1748 • E-ISSN: 1099-1328
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/jid.70033
OpenAlexW4416509751
LanguageEN
References cited45

Developing countries frequently struggle to generate wealth from trade in agri‐commodities such as coffee, where the end price of a cup of coffee sold in Berlin or New York returns only a fraction of the value to the actual coffee grower. With this in mind, we investigate this phenomenon using unique cross‐border data for 28 years (1991–2018), where coffee is represented in its various formats, from unprocessed ‘green’ coffee beans to the roasted and soluble products. In so doing, we derive a measure of functional upgrading. Analogously, we report the extent to which countries upgrade their coffee production, adding value to their raw coffee exports (product upgrading). Our data reveal that many coffee cultivating countries are unable to capitalize on the boom in roasted coffee exports—losing out on the upswing in high‐end consumption. Conversely, we find that Asian countries are more likely to climb the coffee GVC, while many African countries remain exporting green coffee. Interestingly, coffee cultivating countries with higher levels of industrialization and reduced distance to processing hubs, all things equal, are associated with higher value added. The coffee variety cultivated also plays a crucial role as does the trade policy pursued

Boom · Climbing · Developing country · Green coffee · Industrialisation · Agriculture, Land Use, Rural Development · Coffee research and impacts · Global trade, sustainability, and social impact

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