An Estimation of the Prevalence of Smoking and e-Cigarette Use among U.S. Adults If Menthol Cigarettes and Flavored Cigars Are Banned

Bibliographic Data

ID21646668
AuthorsYong Yang (0000-0003-1211-9909, School of Public Health, University of Memphis, Memphis, Tennessee, USA), Yang Yong (0000-0003-2327-2028, University of Memphis, corresponding author)
Year2024
Volume59
Issue9
Pages1394-1404
Publication date2024-07-28
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueSubstance Use & Misuse (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1082-6084 • E-ISSN: 1532-2491
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/10826084.2024.2352616
PMID38725334
OpenAlexW4396807857
LanguageEN
References cited21

INTRODUCTION: People's reaction to the FDA's ban on flavored cigarettes and cigars may be modified by a concurrent ban on flavored e-cigarettes. We aim to estimate the prevalence of smoking and e-cigarette use among U.S. adults under various ban scenarios. METHODS: We collected the reactions of people who used cigarettes, cigars, and e-cigarettes reactions to three hypothetical ban scenarios, (1) restricting menthol cigarettes and flavored cigars only, or (2) further restricting e-cigarettes with any flavors except menthol or tobacco, or (3) further restricting e-cigarettes with all flavors. The above data were analyzed to identify determinants of reactions and to estimate and calibrate the probabilities of quitting and switching to non-flavored cigarettes and cigars. Afterward, the probabilities were applied to 2018-2019 TUS-CPS respondents to estimate the prevalence of smoking and e-cigarette use. RESULTS: Compared with the baseline, the prevalence of smoking decreased from 12.6% to 10.5%, and e-cigarette use increased from 2.6% to 3.8% in Scenario No.1. In Scenario No.2 and No.3, the prevalence of smoking was 10.5% and 10.7%, and the prevalence of e-cigarette use were 3.1% and 2.4%, respectively. For black people, the prevalence of smoking decreased from 14.2% in baseline to 8.1%-8.8% in three scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: The result indicated that for a ban on menthol cigarettes and flavored cigars, a concurrent ban on flavored e-cigarettes with an exemption of menthol flavor could be more effective in encouraging people to quit smoking. Black people may see a disproportionate benefit from all ban scenarios compared with other race/ethics groups

Advertising · Business · Economics · Environmental health · Estimation · Menthol · Population · Smoking prevalence · Global Public Health Policies and Epidemiology · Medicine · Smoking Behavior and Cessation · Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes

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