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Spatial Analysis and Forecasting of Land Use Dynamics Using NDVI , NDBI , LST , and Lulc

A Case Study of Srinagar Garhwal, India

Bibliographic Data

ID21647605
AuthorsAkhilesh Nautiyal (0000-0002-0900-9007, NIT Uttarakhand Srinagar India, corresponding author), Gaurav Juneja (0000-0003-4118-6748, Chandigarh Group of Colleges Mohali Punjab India), Surya Pratap Singh (0000-0002-3544-2023, Medicaps University Indore Madhya Pradesh India)
Year2026
Volume37
Issue8
Pages3154-3168
Publication date2026-05-15
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueLand Degradation and Development (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1085-3278 • E-ISSN: 1099-145X
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/ldr.70302
OpenAlexW4416346246
LanguageEN
References cited16

Urbanization in the Himalayan region has accelerated in recent decades, driven by population growth, tourism expansion, and infrastructure development, resulting in significant alterations in land use and land cover (LULC) patterns. Srinagar Garhwal, situated in the Northwestern Himalayas, provides a representative case study to investigate these transformations. This study integrates remote sensing and geospatial techniques to analyze LULC dynamics over the period 2017–2023, employing normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference built‐up index (NDBI), land surface temperature (LST), and detailed LULC classifications derived from Landsat 8 imagery. Multi‐temporal analysis reveals a significant expansion of built‐up areas (22.8%), a decline in vegetation cover (−15.6%), and changes in water bodies (−3.2%). Correlation analyses indicate a strong positive relationship between urban expansion and local surface temperature increase, highlighting emerging urban heat islands. Forecasting potential future trends identifies regions vulnerable to further urbanization and ecological degradation. These findings provide critical insights for sustainable urban planning and environmental management in Himalayan towns, emphasizing the integration of ecological sensitivity into development strategies

Geospatial analysis · Land cover · Land use · Normalized Difference Vegetation Index · Population · Urban heat island · Urban planning · Urbanization · Land Use and Ecosystem Services · Remote Sensing in Agriculture · Urban Heat Island Mitigation

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    Open Access•Subhanil Guha, Himanshu Govil et al.•European Journal of Remote Sensing•2018

  • Impact of Major Road Network on Landscape and Growth Pattern in Tehri Region

    Open Access•Akhilesh Nautiyal, Anurag Gunsola et al.•Land Degradation and Development•2025

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