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Cascading Governance of National Territorial Space Use Conflicts in Arid Inland River Basins

An Integrated Assessment‐Optimization‐Adaptation Framework

Bibliographic Data

ID21648699
AuthorsYishan Wang (0009-0003-8745-4258, College of Land Science and Technology China Agricultural University Beijing China), Chenbo Wei (College of Land Science and Technology China Agricultural University Beijing China), Zhengshan Ju (Land Consolidation and Rehabilitation Center Ministry of Natural Resources Beijing China), Yan Xu (0000-0002-2441-8618, College of Land Science and Technology China Agricultural University Beijing China, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume36
Issue17
Pages5939-5956
Publication date2025-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueLand Degradation and Development (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1085-3278 • E-ISSN: 1099-145X
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/ldr.70047
OpenAlexW4411947664
LanguageEN
References cited40

Escalating competition for spatial resources in arid inland river basins now jeopardizes the delicate balance among food security, water availability, and ecosystem stability. Although urban‐town, agricultural, and ecological spaces are spatially delineated, their functional interdependencies make them an ideal framework for examining national territorial space–use conflicts. Centered on the Tarim River Basin—covering 1.027 million km 2 in Eurasia's arid core—this study reveals how uncoordinated land‐use transformations strain sustainable development and underscores the urgent need to understand conflict drivers and forecast their trajectories. We propose a progressive governance framework that integrates landscape‐ecological risk assessment, spatial‐game diagnostic models, multi‐objective simulations, and adaptive management. The key findings are: (1) The overall spatial stability in the Tarim River Basin has maintained, but in recent years, the spatial pattern has accelerated, showing a trend from pastoralism to agriculture and urban expansion; (2) National territorial space use conflicts in the Tarim River Basin have been worsening, with the continuous expansion of agricultural farming and urban‐town spaces identified as the primary sources of these conflicts; (3) Future projections suggest escalating conflicts, yet strategic spatial planning could moderate their impacts. We advocate implementing a tiered development framework along the Tarim River continuum, confining agricultural and urban expansion to moderate‐intensity zones while prioritizing conservation of critical ecological corridors. This study not only advances national territorial space theory and methodological integration for arid basins but also offers a scalable roadmap for harmonizing urban, agricultural, and ecological demands in arid regions worldwide

Arid · Business · Corporate governance · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Geography · Water resource management · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Hydropower, Displacement, Environmental Impact · Rangeland Management and Livestock Ecology · Transboundary Water Resource Management · Geology

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