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Jumping to conclusions predicts truncated searches even in uncongenial contexts

Bibliographic Data

ID21689138
AuthorsJames Hillman (0000-0003-0202-6127, Department of Psychology, Ohio State University, corresponding author), Brooke Burrows (0000-0003-4069-8741, Appalachian State University), David Hauser (0000-0002-5480-5213, Queen's University)
Year2026
Volume32
Issue2
Pages213-234
Publication date2026-04-03
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThinking & Reasoning (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1354-6783 • E-ISSN: 1464-0708
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/13546783.2025.2536581
OpenAlexW4412721440
LanguageEN
References cited44

Jumping to conclusions (JTC) is the tendency to reach a conclusion after reviewing only minimal evidence. However, research on the ways in which this individual difference functions in motivated and unmotivated contexts is mixed. In the present research, we investigated whether JTC would predict evidence search in a context where defensive motivated processing is likely to emerge. In Study 1 participants (N = 383) completed a JTC measure then engaged in an iterative search for information to evaluate a gun-control non-profit. In Study 2 we conceptually replicated Study 1 with Democrat and Republican non-profits. Both studies found main effects of defensive processing and JTC but no interaction between predictors, suggesting that JTC is not due to lack of motivation. Defensive motivation increases search length for those high in JTC; however motivation is not sufficient to close the gap between high and low JTC individuals

Cognitive psychology · Jumping · Climate Change Communication and Perception · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Forecasting Techniques and Applications · Medicine · Psychology · Social Psychology

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