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The impact of weather shocks on employment outcomes

Evidence from South Africa

Bibliographic Data

ID21691130
AuthorsHarriet Brookes Gray (Princeton University), Vis Taraz (0000-0003-1820-5357, Smith College, corresponding author), Simon D Halliday (0000-0002-0297-6088, University of Bristol)
Year2023
Volume28
Issue3
Pages285-305
Publication date2023-06-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironment and Development Economics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1355-770X • E-ISSN: 1469-4395
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s1355770x22000237
OpenAlexW4295207112
LanguageEN
Citations received9
References cited55

Climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme weather events, such as drought and heat waves. In this paper, we assess the impact of drought and high temperatures on the employment outcomes of working-age individuals in South Africa between 2008 and 2017. We merge high-resolution weather data with detailed individual-level survey data on labor market outcomes, and estimate causal impacts using a fixed effects framework. We find that increases in the occurrence of drought reduce overall employment. These effects are concentrated in the tertiary sector, amongst informal workers, and in provinces with a higher reliance on tourism. Taken together, our results suggest that the impacts of climate change will be felt unequally by South Africa's workers

Climate change · Demographic economics · Economic impact analysis · Economics · Extreme weather · Geography · Heat wave · Tourism · Agricultural risk and resilience · Climate Change and Health Impacts · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Ecology

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Citations per year9
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Highly citedNo

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