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Incorporating resilience when assessing pandemic risk in the Arctic

A case study of Alaska

Bibliographic Data

ID21879285
AuthorsSweta Tiwari (0000-0003-2252-3171, University of Northern Iowa, corresponding author), Andrey Petrov (0000-0002-9417-7194, ARCTICenter, University of Northern Iowa, Cedar Falls, Iowa, USA), Andrey N Petrov (0000-0003-1345-2842, University of Northern Iowa), Nino Mateshvili (University of Northern Iowa), Michele Devlin (United States Army War College), Nikolay Golosov (0000-0002-1738-0033, Pennsylvania State University), Marya Rozanova-Smith (George Washington University), Mark Welford (University of Northern Iowa), Welford Mark (University of Northern Iowa), John DeGroote (University of Northern Iowa), Tatiana Degai (0000-0002-5201-7555, University of Victoria), Stanislav Ksenofontov (University of Northern Iowa)
Year2023
Volume8
Issue6
Pagese011646
Publication date2023-06-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueBMJ Global Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2059-7908 • E-ISSN: 2059-7908
PublisherBMJ (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1136/bmjgh-2022-011646
PMID37286235
OpenAlexW4379645016
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited54

The discourse on vulnerability to COVID-19 or any other pandemic is about the susceptibility to the effects of disease outbreaks. Over time, vulnerability has been assessed through various indices calculated using a confluence of societal factors. However, categorising Arctic communities, without considering their socioeconomic, cultural and demographic uniqueness, into the high and low continuum of vulnerability using universal indicators will undoubtedly result in the underestimation of the communities’ capacity to withstand and recover from pandemic exposure. By recognising vulnerability and resilience as two separate but interrelated dimensions, this study reviews the Arctic communities’ ability to cope with pandemic risks. In particular, we have developed a pandemic vulnerability–resilience framework for Alaska to examine the potential community-level risks of COVID-19 or future pandemics. Based on the combined assessment of the vulnerability and resilience indices, we found that not all highly vulnerable census areas and boroughs had experienced COVID-19 epidemiological outcomes with similar severity. The more resilient a census area or borough is, the lower the cumulative death per 100 000 and case fatality ratio in that area. The insight that pandemic risks are the result of the interaction between vulnerability and resilience could help public officials and concerned parties to accurately identify the populations and communities at most risk or with the greatest need, which, in turn, helps in the efficient allocation of resources and services before, during and after a pandemic. A resilience–vulnerability-focused approach described in this paper can be applied to assess the potential effect of COVID-19 and similar future health crises in remote regions or regions with large Indigenous populations in other parts of the world

Community resilience · Computer security · Disease · Economics · Environmental health · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Geography · Hazard · Pandemic · Psychological resilience · Public health · Socioeconomics · Sociology · Vulnerability assessment · Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration · Disaster Management and Resilience · Indigenous Studies and Ecology · Medicine · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Citations per year1.5
Citation span2024 - 2025 (2)
Highly citedNo

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