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The impact of implementing the 2016 WHO Recommendations on Antenatal Care for a Positive Pregnancy Experience on perinatal deaths

An interrupted time-series analysis in Mpumalanga province, South Africa

Bibliographic Data

ID21880929
AuthorsTina Lavin (0000-0003-1099-0717, The University of Western Australia, corresponding author), Robert Pattinson (0000-0001-6710-7636, University of Pretoria), Robert Clive Pattinson (MRC Maternal and Infant Health Care Strategies Unit, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa, Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa), Erin A Kelty (0000-0002-0841-2216, The University of Western Australia), Erin Kelty (School of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, Perth, Western Australia, Australia), Yogan Pillay (0000-0003-2700-6181, Department of Health), David B Preen (0000-0002-2982-2169, The University of Western Australia)
Year2020
Volume5
Issue12
Pagese002965
Publication date2020-12-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueBMJ Global Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2059-7908 • E-ISSN: 2059-7908
PublisherBMJ (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1136/bmjgh-2020-002965
PMID33293294
OpenAlexW3113126486
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited16

OBJECTIVES: To investigate if the implementation of the 2016 WHO Recommendations for a Positive Pregnancy Experience reduced perinatal mortality in a South African province. The recommendations were implemented which included increasing the number of contacts and also the content of the contacts. METHODS: Retrospective interrupted time-series analysis was conducted for all women accessing a minimum of one antenatal care contact from April 2014 to September 2019 in Mpumalanga province, South Africa. Retrospective interrupted time-series analysis of province level perinatal mortality and birth data comparing the pre-implementation period (April 2014-March 2017) and post-implementation period (April 2018-September 2019). The main outcome measure was unadjusted prevalence ratio (PR) for perinatal deaths before and after implementation; interrupted time-series analyses for trends in perinatal mortality before and after implementation; stillbirth risk by gestational age; primary cause of deaths (and maternal condition) before and after implementation. RESULTS: Overall, there was a 5.8% absolute decrease in stillbirths after implementation of the recommendations, however this was not statistically significant (PR 0.95, 95% CI 0.90% to 1.05%; p=0.073). Fresh stillbirths decreased by 16.6% (PR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77% to 0.95%; p=0.003) while macerated stillbirths (p=0.899) and early neonatal deaths remained unchanged (p=0.499). When stratified by weight fresh stillbirths >2500 g decreased by 17.2% (PR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70% to 0.94%; p=0.007) and early neonatal deaths decreased by 12.8% (PR 0.88, 95% CI 0.77% to 0.99%; p=0.041). The interrupted time-series analysis confirmed a trend for decreasing stillbirths at 0.09/1000 births per month (-0.09, 95% CI -1.18 to 0.01; p=0.059), early neonatal deaths (-0.09, 95% CI -0.14 to 0.04; p=<0.001) and perinatal mortality (-1.18, 95% CI -0.27 to -0.09; p<0.001) in the post-implementation period. A decrease in stillbirths, early neonatal deaths or perinatal mortality was not observed in the pre-implementation period. During the period when additional antenatal care contacts were implemented (34-38 weeks), there was a decrease in stillbirths of 18.4% (risk ratio (RR) 0.82, 95% CI 0.73% to 0.91%, p=0.0003). In hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, the risk of stillbirth decreased in the post-period by 15.1% (RR 0.85; 95% CI 0.76% to 0.94%; p=0.002). CONCLUSION: The implementation of the 2016 WHO Recommendations for a Positive Pregnancy Experience may be an effective public health strategy to reduce stillbirths in South African provinces

Birth weight · Fetus · Gestational age · Interrupted time series · Interrupted Time Series Analysis · Low birth weight · Obstetrics · Perinatal mortality · Pregnancy · Psychological intervention · Retrospective cohort study · COVID-19 Impact on Reproduction · Global Maternal and Child Health · Maternal and Neonatal Healthcare · Medicine · Nursing · Pediatrics · Surgery

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Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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