Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Towards managing vulnerability. A new model of systemic vulnerability

Bibliographic Data

ID22025557
AuthorsIuliana Armaș (0000-0002-8020-6767, University of Bucharest), Andra-Cosmina Albulescu (0000-0002-2315-4729, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, corresponding author), Daniela Dobre (0000-0002-8442-2045, University of Bucharest)
Year2025
Volume121
Pages105378
Publication date2025-04-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2212-4209
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105378
OpenAlexW4408251681
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited52

Systemic vulnerability represents an underexplored topic in Disaster Risk Reduction, closely linked to vulnerability dynamics. This study is the first to acquire an in-depth understanding of systemic vulnerability within multi-hazard contexts. We introduce a Systemic Vulnerability Model that builds on our prior conceptual framework of vulnerability augmentation and on Enhanced Impact Chains on vulnerability. The model integrates in-depth structural equations and multiple regressions, validated through three robust procedures. Key results show that vulnerabilities that generate numerous affects, slows down, or sharpens connections are also heavily augmented by hazard impacts. Based on these findings, we define systemic vulnerability as the enduring core of vulnerability that persists across time and space, irrespective of mitigation efforts and societal progress. Systemic vulnerability reinforces impacts by evolving into drivers of vulnerability and impacts, hindering mitigation measures. This perspective adds to research on vulnerability to natural hazards, supporting the development of multi-risk management considering vulnerability dynamics. • This study introduces the first model of multi-hazard systemic vulnerability (SV). • Based on the model and its results, we propose a novel perspective on SV. • SV is captured through vulnerability augmentation within Enhanced Impact Chains. • SV holds the potential to reinforce hazard impacts in positive feedback looping

Business · Computer security · Economics · Psychological resilience · Systemic risk · Vulnerability assessment · Agricultural risk and resilience · Climate change impacts on agriculture · Computer Science · Disaster Management and Resilience · Psychology · Social Psychology

  • Diagnosing Pandemic Disaster Risk Management through Impact Chains and Forensic Analysis

    Open Access•Andra-Cosmina Albulescu, Iuliana Armaș et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2026

  • Layered or simple

    Open Access•Andra-Cosmina Albulescu, Iuliana Armaș•International Journal of Disaster…•2026

  • Addressing the social vulnerability gap in disaster risk perception

    Open Access•Samuel Rufat, Alexander Fekete et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2025

  • The vulnerability dimensionscape

    Open Access•Irasema Alcántara-Ayala•Environmental Hazards•2026

  • How to Use a Monte Carlo Study to Decide on Sample Size and Determine Power

    Linda K Muthén, Bengt Muthén et al.•Structural Equation Modeling: A…•2002

  • Structural equations modeling

    Open Access•Dawn Iacobucci•Journal of Consumer Psychology•2010

  • Applications of structural equation modeling (SEM) in ecological studies

    Open Access•Yi Fan, Jiquan Chen et al.•Ecological Processes•2016

  • Power failure

    Open Access•Katherine S Button, John P A Ioannidis et al.•Nature Reviews Neuroscience•2013

  • Effects of sample size, estimation methods, and model specification on structural equation modeling fit indexes

    Xitao Fan, Bruce Thompson et al.•Structural Equation Modeling: A…•1999

  • Cutoff criteria for fit indexes in covariance structure analysis

    Li‐tze Hu, Peter M Bentler•Structural Equation Modeling: A…•1999

  • A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science

    Open Access•B L Turner, Roger E Kasperson et al.•Proceedings of the National…•2003

  • Climate Change Impact Chains

    Open Access•Linda Menk, Stefano Terzi et al.•Weather, Climate, and Society•2022

  • Hinging on the preparedness of first responders. A case study on the 2021 flood operations in Romania

    Open Access•Iuliana Armaș, Daniela Dobre et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2025

  • Determinants of Risk

    Open Access•Omar D Cardona, Omar-Dario Cardona et al.•Managing the Risks of Extreme…•2012

  • Required Sample Size to Detect the Mediated Effect

    Open Access•Matthew S Fritz, David P Mackinnon•Psychological Science•2007

  • Differentiating environmental concern in the context of psychological adaption to climate change

    Open Access•Sabrina Helm, Sabrina V Helm et al.•Global Environmental Change•2017

  • Vulnerability to environmental hazards

    Open Access•Susan L Cutter•Progress in Human Geography•1996

  • Has the IPCC’s revised vulnerability concept been well adopted

    Open Access•Ronald C Estoque, Asif Ishtiaque et al.•AMBIO•2023

  • Systemic Vulnerability and the Origins of Developmental States

    Richard F Doner, Bryan K Ritchie et al.•International Organization•2005

  • Socio-economic status and political support in post-communist Romania

    Open Access•Vasile Cernat•Communist and Post-Communist…•2010

  • Evolutionary Universal Aesthetics in Ecological Rationality

    Open Access•Mimi E Lam, Mimi Lam et al.•Journal of Ecological Anthropology•2006

  • Social production of disasters and disaster social constructs

    Open Access•Lei Sun, A J Faas•Disaster Prevention and…•2018

  • Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards

    Open Access•Susan L Cutter, Bryan Boruff et al.•Social Science Quarterly•2003

  • Vulnerability

    Open Access•W Neil Adger•Global Environmental Change•2006

  • Disaster preparedness and cultural factors

    Open Access•Sandra Appleby‐arnold, Noellie Brockdorff et al.•Disasters•2021

  • The interplay between structural and systemic vulnerability during the Covid-19 pandemic

    Serena Tagliacozzo, Lucio Pisacane et al.•New Community•2021

  • Value-adding' Analysis

    Open Access•Joan M Eakin, Joan Eakin et al.•International Journal of…•2020

  • The Performance of RMSEA in Models With Small Degrees of Freedom

    Open Access•D A Kenny, Burcu Kaniskan et al.•Sociological Methods & Research•2015

  • An Empirical Evaluation of the Use of Fixed Cutoff Points in RMSEA Test Statistic in Structural Equation Models

    Open Access•Feinian Chen, Feinian Chen Feinian Chen et al.•Sociological Methods & Research•2008

Citations per year4
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Highly citedNo

Tools

Open DOIOpen Access
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae