Towards integrated flood management
Vulnerability and flood risk in the Ayeyarwady Delta of Myanmar
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 22025689 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Anissa Vogel (0000-0003-3283-8476, University of Cologne, corresponding author), Katharina Seeger (0000-0003-0766-9818, University of Cologne), Dominik Brill (0000-0001-8637-4641, University of Cologne), Helmut Brückner (0000-0002-2130-5394, University of Cologne), Aung Kyaw (0000-0002-2030-1906), Zin Nwe Myint (0000-0001-9079-9917, University of Yangon), Frauke Kraas (0000-0002-3498-6758, University of Cologne) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Volume | 114 |
| Pages | 104723 |
| Publication date | 2024-11-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2212-4209 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104723 |
| OpenAlex | W4401360671 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 83 |
Despite the rising global flood risk, the impacts of flooding remain systematically underestimated, leading to significant consequences for particularly vulnerable river deltas. Most studies focus either on single hazards or social vulnerability while overlooking the interconnected dynamics of deltaic social-ecological systems. In response to the first priority of the Sendai Framework, which calls for an understanding of disaster risk in all its dimensions, we apply the Global Delta Risk Index in the Ayeyarwady Delta of Myanmar. We combine 55 indicators of social- and ecosystem vulnerability with 100-year, 500-year, and 1,000-year scenarios of pluvial, fluvial, and coastal flood hazards and exposure at the sub-delta scale. Using townships as units of analysis allows for bridging the gap between global and local case studies, providing insights that are meaningful for risk-informed development of the delta as a whole system. We also examine the distinctive characteristics that define the delta systems that are particularly prone to flooding. Our results reveal patterns and drivers of flood risk and vulnerability that affect at least 65 % of the delta's population and 60 % of its ecosystem, with self-reinforcing dynamics, but also those that contribute to the mutual resilience of both systems. We argue that the principles of integrated flood management should be applied to leverage scarce resources to simultaneously reduce risk, secure livelihoods and preserve ecosystem services
Climate change · Computer security · Delta · Environmental health · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Flood myth · Geography · Population · River delta · Vulnerability index · Water resource management · Coastal wetland ecosystem dynamics · Computer Science · Engineering · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Ecology
Profiling risk and sustainability in coastal deltas of the world
Satellite imaging reveals increased proportion of population exposed to floods
Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries
Has land use pushed terrestrial biodiversity beyond the planetary boundary? A global assessment
Sinking deltas due to human activities
Evaluating social vulnerability indicators
A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science
A local level relationship between floods and poverty
Assessing social resilience of flood-vulnerable communities in Ayeyarwady Delta, Myanmar
The contribution of armed conflict to vulnerability to disaster
The practical use of social vulnerability indicators in disaster management
Explainable artificial intelligence in disaster risk management
Beyond disaster vulnerabilities
Military coup during Covid-19 pandemic and health crisis in Myanmar
Modeling urban development and its exposure to river flood risk in Southeast Asia
Social vulnerability to floods
Risk and vulnerability indicators at different scales
A review of vulnerability indicators for deltaic social–ecological systems
Dammed deltas
Evaluating flood hazards in data-sparse coastal lowlands
Disaster risk perception and preparedness of households in Yangon, Myanmar
Mapping the irrecoverable carbon in Earth’s ecosystems
Tipping from the Holocene to the Anthropocene
Aligning the Global Delta Risk Index with SDG and SFDRR global frameworks to assess risk to socio-ecological systems in river deltas
Hydrosocial practice in an urbanising floodplain
Global change scenarios in coastal river deltas and their sustainable development implications
Deforestation in the Ayeyarwady Delta and the conservation implications of an internationally-engaged Myanmar
The space of vulnerability
Evolution of the Irrawaddy delta region since 1850
How Valid Are Social Vulnerability Models
Social-ecological systems as complex adaptive systems
Pinning down vulnerability
| Unique citing works | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2 |
| Citation span | 2025 - 2026 (2) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 2 |