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Tomorrow's Cities risk agreement approach

Utilising the analytical, communication and convening power of science for inclusive, risk-sensitive urban planning

Bibliographic Data

ID22028461
AuthorsRoberto Gentile (0000-0002-7682-4490), Tanvi Deshpande (0000-0003-4188-8483), Erdem Ozer, Sukirti Amatya, Nisha Shrestha (0000-0001-7591-4710), Ramesh Guragain (0000-0002-3852-2483), Margaret Pelling (0000-0002-6472-9875), HUGH SINCLAIR, Hugh D Sinclair (0000-0003-4719-7130)
Year2025
Volume128
Pages105659
Publication date2025-10-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2212-4209
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105659
OpenAlexW4412085846
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited32

Global disaster risk reduction in urban development frameworks calls for people-centred, participatory, and integrated approaches to addressing urban risk and building resilience. This paper presents a methodology that engages communities at risk and policy actors to assess scientifically projected impacts of multiple hazards on locally defined future urban scenarios and co-develop measures to reduce future hazard impacts. The methodology enables stakeholders to identify barriers and strategies to support more people-centred, participatory, and risk-sensitive future urban development. Within a workshop, selected community groups are first introduced to an interactive dashboard that simplifies the communication of projected multi-hazard impacts (e.g., human displacement, casualties, loss of education capacity). Community groups identify and discuss the effects of different hazards, exposure, and vulnerability features along with projected impacts on community-led future urban scenarios. Such evidence-based and participatory discussions lead to a set of revisions of the urban scenarios. Finally, the groups discuss existing community, urban planning, and local decision-making challenges that could hinder the implementation of the urban scenarios. The proposed methodology is presented within the framework of the Tomorrow's Cities Decision Support Environment (TCDSE) and illustrated through a deployment in Rapti, Nepal. Findings confirm the ability of the approach to facilitate a shared understanding of context-specific risk amongst diverse local and policy actors. The combination of scientific and local information improves awareness and gives agency to marginalised groups for improved communication with urban planners in disaster risk reduction decision-making

Agreement · Business · Computer security · Environmental planning · Physics · Risk assessment · Computer Science · Engineering · Environmental and Social Impact Assessments · Environmental Science · Land Use and Ecosystem Services · Soil and Land Suitability Analysis

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    Open Access•Som Nepali, Rajesh Tamang•Development in Practice•2026

  • Critical learning

    Open Access•Tanvi Deshpande, Margaret Pelling et al.•Environment and Urbanization•2026

  • Contested waters, contested spaces

    Open Access•Johannes Bhanye•Environment and Urbanization•2026

  • Tomorrow’s cities

    Open Access•Margaret Pelling, Mark Pelling et al.•Environment and Urbanization•2026

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  • International principles of disaster risk reduction informing NGOs strategies for community based DRR mainstreaming

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  • Scoring, selecting, and developing physical impact models for multi-hazard risk assessment

    Open Access•Roberto Gentile, Gemma Cremen et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2022

  • Empowering women through participatory action research in community-based disaster risk reduction efforts

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  • Incorporating social innovations in the elaboration of disaster risk mitigation policies

    Open Access•Miguel Angel Trejo-Rangel, Victor Marchezini et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2023

  • Participation as a requirement

    Open Access•Jackie Bubb, Loic Le Dé•International Journal of Disaster…•2022

  • Future exposure modelling for risk-informed decision making in urban planning

    Open Access•Emin Yahya Menteşe, Gemma Cremen et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2023

  • A state-of-the-art decision-support environment for risk-sensitive and pro-poor urban planning and design in Tomorrow's cities

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  • Relationship between political participation and community resilience in the disaster risk process

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  • People’s Participation in Disaster-Risk Reduction

    Katherine Hore, J Gaillard et al.•Natural Hazards Review•2020

  • “Lets talk about you …”

    Open Access•Terry Gibson, Ben Wisner•Disaster Prevention and…•2016

  • Normative future visioning

    Open Access•Thaisa Cristina Comelli, Margaret Pelling et al.•Buildings and Cities•2024

  • Participatory methods of integrated assessment—a review

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  • Learning and Action Alliances for the integration of flood risk management into urban planning

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  • Co-creating formalized models

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  • From knowledge to action

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  • Participatory approaches for disaster risk governance? Exploring participatory mechanisms and mapping to close the communication gap between population living in flood risk areas and authorities in Nova Friburgo Municipality, RJ, Brazil

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Citations per year4
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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Open DOIOpen Access
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