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Dynamic Graph Convolutional Network-Based Prediction of the Urban Grid-Level Taxi Demand–Supply Imbalance Using GPS Trajectories

Bibliographic Data

ID22032004
AuthorsHaiqiang Yang (0000-0003-2073-0433, Qingdao University, corresponding author), Zihan Li (0000-0002-7075-1403, Qingdao University)
Year2024
Volume13
Issue2
Pages34
Publication date2024-01-24
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2220-9964 • E-ISSN: 2220-9964
PublisherMDPI AG (PUBLISHER • IT)
DOI10.3390/ijgi13020034
OpenAlexW4391169663
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited52

The objective imbalance between the taxi supply and demand exists in various areas of the city. Accurately predicting this imbalance helps taxi companies with dispatching, thereby increasing their profits and meeting the travel needs of residents. The application of Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) in traffic forecasting has inspired the development of a spatial–temporal model for grid-level prediction of the taxi demand–supply imbalance. However, spatial–temporal GCN prediction models conventionally capture only static inter-grid correlation features. This research aims to address the dynamic influences caused by taxi mobility and the variations of other transportation modes on the demand–supply dynamics between grids. To achieve this, we employ taxi trajectory data and develop a model that incorporates dynamic GCN and Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) to predict grid-level imbalances. This model captures the dynamic inter-grid influences between neighboring grids in the spatial dimension. It also identifies trends and periodic changes in the temporal dimension. The validation of this model, using taxi trajectory data from Shenzhen city, indicates superior performance compared to classical time-series models and spatial–temporal GCN models. An ablation study is conducted to analyze the impact of various factors on the predictive accuracy. This study demonstrates the precision and applicability of the proposed model

Geodesy · Geography · Global Positioning System · Graph · Grid · Real-time computing · Telecommunications · Computer Science · Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis · Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques · Transportation Planning and Optimization · Theoretical Computer Science

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,5
Citation span2024 - 2024 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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Open DOIOpen Access
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