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Evaluating Shallow Landslide Prediction Mapping by Using Two Different GIS-Based Models

4SLIDE and SHALSTAB

Bibliographic Data

ID22032666
AuthorsFederico Valerio Moresi (0000-0003-4648-4373, Università degli Studi della Tuscia, corresponding author), Mauro Maesano (0000-0002-4325-951X, Università degli Studi della Tuscia), Marco di Cristofaro (0009-0004-1451-7219, Università degli Studi della Tuscia), Giuseppe Scarascia Mugnozza (0000-0003-0357-4360, European Forest Institute, Biocities, 00189 Roma, Italy), Elena Brunori (0000-0002-1475-1353, Università degli Studi della Tuscia)
Year2025
Volume14
Issue4
Pages144
Publication date2025-03-27
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2220-9964 • E-ISSN: 2220-9964
PublisherMDPI AG (PUBLISHER • IT)
DOI10.3390/ijgi14040144
OpenAlexW4408903381
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited34

Landslides affecting soil layers up to 1–2 m deep pose a significant hazard in mountainous and hilly regions, particularly in the Mediterranean, where intense precipitation is increasing. Identifying landslide-prone areas is crucial for risk assessment and mitigation, as landslides can severely impact land surfaces, infrastructure, and inhabited areas. Forest cover and management play a fundamental role in stabilizing soil and reducing landslide susceptibility. This study focuses on landslide forecasting models, which integrate geological, climatic, and topographic data to predict landslide probability and severity. Specifically, we compare the predictive accuracy of the 4SLIDE model with the established SHALSTAB model in a forested mountain catchment within Sila National Park, Southern Italy, using GIS-based analysis. The results demonstrate that both models effectively identify high-risk areas, with ROC analysis confirming the superior predictive capability of the 4SLIDE model. Our findings underscore the critical importance of early landslide identification, supporting timely interventions and the implementation of forest engineering and Civil Protection measures to mitigate the impact of landslides on communities and infrastructure

Cartography · Geography · Geotechnical engineering · Landslide · Computer Science · Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis · Landslides and related hazards · Soil and Unsaturated Flow · Geology

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Citations per year2
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Highly citedNo

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