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Characterizing Spatiotemporal Hydrological Responses During Extreme Flooding

A Residual Analysis Using SMAP Data

Bibliographic Data

ID22033719
AuthorsHashani Abeygunasekara (0009-0004-1444-163X, UNSW Sydney), Bigul Pokharel (0000-0001-5010-9205, NSW Department of Education), Samsung Lim (0000-0001-9838-8960, UNSW Sydney, corresponding author)
Year2026
Volume15
Issue7
Pages277
Publication date2026-06-23
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2220-9964 • E-ISSN: 2220-9964
PublisherMDPI AG (PUBLISHER • IT)
DOI10.3390/ijgi15070277
OpenAlexW7165654930
LanguageEN
References cited30

Coarsely gridded Land Surface Models (LSMs) often smooth over sub-grid spatial heterogeneity and non-linear surface soil moisture dynamics during extreme-precipitation events. This study introduces a clustering-based Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) residual framework, evaluating the spatiotemporal discrepancies between 3 km SMAP Level 2 (SMAP-L2) retrievals and 9 km SMAP Level 4 (SMAP-L4) data-assimilation products within the Yanco study region during the extreme March 2021 floods in New South Wales, Australia. By applying k-means clustering to the residual time series, we partitioned the landscape into three distinct hydrological response patterns: a Low-Residual Baseline (64.5%), a Persistent Positive Anomaly (20.7%) indicative of unmodeled inundation, and a Transient Negative Anomaly (14.8%) representing rapid drainage. Consequently, 35.5% of the usable analysis area exhibited temporal trajectories that diverged significantly from model expectations, highlighting profound geographic heterogeneity in surface wetting and retention that cannot be captured by uniform precipitation inputs alone. Benchmarking the satellite-derived time series against the Yanco in situ network provided critical context for cross-scale variations, illustrating general agreement in overarching temporal trends despite the inherent scale mismatch. Ultimately, this approach leverages residual dynamics as a scalable spatial diagnostic, offering a robust, data-driven method to map localized flood responses that are typically obscured by broad-scale model parameters

Flood myth · Precipitation · Residual · Spatial ecology · Spatial heterogeneity · Temporal scales · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies · Soil Moisture and Remote Sensing

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