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Global and Temporal Covid-19 Risk Evaluation

Bibliographic Data

ID22069746
AuthorsMudassar Hassan Arsalan (0000-0001-9622-5930, Western Sydney University), Omar Mubin (0000-0002-6435-6407, Western Sydney University, corresponding author), Fady Alnajjar (0000-0001-6102-3765, United Arab Emirates University, corresponding author), Belal Alsinglawi (0000-0003-0316-3641, Western Sydney University), Nazar Zaki (0000-0002-6259-9843, United Arab Emirates University)
Year2020
Volume8
Pages440-440
Publication date2020-08-07
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFrontiers in Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2296-2565 • E-ISSN: 2296-2565
PublisherFrontiers Media SA (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3389/fpubh.2020.00440
PMID32850611
OpenAlexW3048199063
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited25

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented crisis across the world, with many countries struggling with the pandemic. In order to understand how each country is impacted by the virus and assess the risk on a global scale we present a regression based analysis using two pre-existing indexes, namely the Inform and Infectious Disease Vulnerability Index, in conjunction with the number of elderly living in the population. Further we introduce a temporal layer in our modeling by incorporating the stringency level employed by each country over a period of 6 time intervals. Our results show that the indexes and level of stringency are not ideally suited for explaining variation in COVID-19 risk, however the ratio of elderly in the population is a stand out indicator in terms of its predictive power for mortality risk. In conclusion, we discuss how such modeling approaches can assist public health policy

2019-20 coronavirus outbreak · Betacoronavirus · Data science · Disease · Outbreak · Pandemic · Pathology · Computer Science · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts · Medicine · Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research · Virology

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    Open Access•Lillian Marti, Rosa Puertas•Environment Development and…•2022

  • Relative Importance for Linear Regression in R

    Open Access•Ulrike Grömping•Journal of Statistical Software•2006

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    Open Access•Hussin A Rothan, Siddappa N Byrareddy•Journal of Autoimmunity•2020

  • Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of Covid-19

    Open Access•Marius Gilbert, Giulia Pullano et al.•The Lancet•2020

  • Impact assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions against coronavirus disease 2019 and influenza in Hong Kong

    Open Access•B J Cowling, Sheikh Taslim Ali et al.•The Lancet Public Health•2020

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    Open Access•Ying Liu, Albert A Gayle et al.•Journal of Travel Medicine•2020

  • Can we contain the Covid-19 outbreak with the same measures as for Sars?

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    Open Access•Laure Wynants, Ben Van Calster et al.•BMJ•2020

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    Open Access•Jayson S Jia, Xin Lu et al.•Nature•2020

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    Open Access•Jon Cohen, J David Cohen et al.•Science•2020

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    Open Access•Roxanne Marie Anderson, Roy M Anderson et al.•The Lancet•2020

  • A global panel database of pandemic policies (Oxford Covid-19 Government Response Tracker)

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Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,8
Citation span2021 - 2022 (2)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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