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Wastewater-based epidemiology

The crucial role of viral shedding dynamics in small communities

Bibliographic Data

ID22072873
AuthorsMarc-Denis Rioux (0000-0001-9439-7464, Université du Québec à Rimouski, corresponding author), François Guillemette (0000-0003-2333-8410, Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières), Karine Lemarchand (Université du Québec à Rimouski), Kim Doiron (0000-0003-0781-8174), Jean-François Lemay (0000-0002-7443-6734), Thomas Maere (0000-0003-2885-0421, Université Laval), Patrick Dolcé (Centre Intégré de Santé et de Services Sociaux du Bas-Saint-Laurent), Patrik Quessy, Nanouk Abonnenc, Peter A Vanrolleghem (0000-0003-1695-1313, Université Laval), Dominic Frigon (0000-0003-1587-8943, McGill University)
Year2023
Volume11
Pages1141837-1141837
Publication date2023-08-02
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFrontiers in Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2296-2565 • E-ISSN: 2296-2565
PublisherFrontiers Media SA (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3389/fpubh.2023.1141837
PMID37601171
OpenAlexW4385491437
LanguageEN
References cited19

Background: Wastewater surveillance (WWS) of pathogens is a rapidly evolving field owing to the 2019 coronavirus disease pandemic, which brought about a paradigm shift in public health authorities for the management of pathogen outbreaks. However, the interpretation of WWS in terms of clinical cases remains a challenge, particularly in small communities where large variations in pathogen concentrations are routinely observed without a clear relation to clinical incident cases. Methods: Results are presented for WWS from six municipalities in the eastern part of Canada during the spring of 2021. We developed a numerical model based on viral kinetics reduction functions to consider both prevalent and incident cases to interpret the WWS data in light of the reported clinical cases in the six surveyed communities. Results: The use of the proposed numerical model with a viral kinetics reduction function drastically increased the interpretability of the WWS data in terms of the clinical cases reported for the surveyed community. In line with our working hypothesis, the effects of viral kinetics reduction modeling were more important in small communities than in larger communities. In all but one of the community cases (where it had no effect), the use of the proposed numerical model led to a change from a +1.5% (for the larger urban center, Quebec City) to a +48.8% increase in the case of a smaller community (Drummondville). Conclusion: Consideration of prevalent and incident cases through the proposed numerical model increases the correlation between clinical cases and WWS data. This is particularly the case in small communities. Because the proposed model is based on a biological mechanism, we believe it is an inherent part of any wastewater system and, hence, that it should be used in any WWS analysis where the aim is to relate WWS measurement to clinical cases

Environmental health · Geography · Interpretability · Outbreak · Child Nutrition and Water Access · Computer Science · Fecal contamination and water quality · Medicine · SARS-CoV-2 detection and testing · Virology

  • Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of Covid-19

    Open Access•Xi He, Eric Hy Lau et al.•Nature Medicine•2020

Highly citedNo

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