Preparing correctional settings for the next pandemic
A modeling study of Covid-19 outbreaks in two high-income countries
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 22075973 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jisoo A Kwon (0000-0003-2829-6694, UNSW Sydney, corresponding author), Neil Arvin Bretaña (0000-0003-4743-348X, University of South Australia), Nadine Kronfli (0000-0003-2724-0496, McGill University Health Centre), Camille Dussault (0000-0002-3555-9766, McGill University Health Centre), Luke Grant (0000-0002-7517-0413), Jennifer Galouzis, Jennifer J Galouzis (0000-0002-6563-5651), Wendy Hoey (0000-0002-5645-7080), James Blogg (0000-0003-2074-9978), Andrew R Lloyd (0000-0001-6277-8887, UNSW Sydney), Richard T Gray (0000-0002-2885-0483, UNSW Sydney) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Volume | 12 |
| Pages | 1279572-1279572 |
| Publication date | 2024-03-15 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Frontiers in Public Health (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2296-2565 • E-ISSN: 2296-2565 |
| Publisher | Frontiers Media SA (PUBLISHER • CH) |
| DOI | 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1279572 |
| PMID | 38560445 |
| OpenAlex | W4392859405 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 42 |
Introduction: Correctional facilities are high-priority settings for coordinated public health responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. These facilities are at high risk of disease transmission due to close contacts between people in prison and with the wider community. People in prison are also vulnerable to severe disease given their high burden of co-morbidities. Methods: We developed a mathematical model to evaluate the effect of various public health interventions, including vaccination, on the mitigation of COVID-19 outbreaks, applying it to prisons in Australia and Canada. Results: We found that, in the absence of any intervention, an outbreak would occur and infect almost 100% of people in prison within 20 days of the index case. However, the rapid rollout of vaccines with other non-pharmaceutical interventions would almost eliminate the risk of an outbreak. Discussion: Our study highlights that high vaccination coverage is required for variants with high transmission probability to completely mitigate the outbreak risk in prisons
Criminology · Disease · Environmental health · Outbreak · Pandemic · Population · Prison · Psychiatry · Psychological intervention · Public health · Public health interventions · Vaccination · Computer Science · Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis · Homelessness and Social Issues · Medicine · Nursing · Psychology · Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending · Virology
The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases
Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of Sars-CoV-2 and Covid-19
Prisons and custodial settings are part of a comprehensive response to Covid-19
Handwashing and risk of respiratory infections
Age-dependent effects in the transmission and control of Covid-19 epidemics
Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of Covid-19
Public Health and the Epidemic of Incarceration
Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019
Early dynamics of transmission and control of Covid-19
Importance of occupation for Sars-CoV-2 seroprevalence and Covid-19 vaccination among correctional workers in Quebec, Canada
Effectiveness of Sars-CoV-2 vaccines against Omicron infection and severe events
Modeling Covid-19 and Its Impacts on U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Detention Facilities, 2020
Covid-19 outbreak in a state prison
Preventing the Spread of Covid-19 in Immigration Detention Centers Requires the Release of Detainees
| Highly cited | No |
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