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Effectiveness of four vaccines in preventing Sars-CoV-2 infection in Almaty, Kazakhstan in 2021

Retrospective population-based cohort study

Bibliographic Data

ID22085492
AuthorsDilyara Nabirova (0000-0002-0314-2202, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, corresponding author), Roberta Horth (0000-0003-1810-2542, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention), Manar Smagul (0000-0003-0905-8121), Gaukhar Nukenova (0000-0002-6661-0392), Aizhan Yesmagambetova (Ministry of Health of the Republic of Kazakhstan), Daniel Singer (0000-0001-5479-2806, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention), Alden Henderson (0000-0002-0707-1093, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention), Alexey Tsoy
Year2023
Volume11
Pages1205159-1205159
Publication date2023-06-07
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFrontiers in Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2296-2565 • E-ISSN: 2296-2565
PublisherFrontiers Media SA (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3389/fpubh.2023.1205159
PMID37351091
OpenAlexW4379797403
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited22

Background In February 2021 Kazakhstan began offering COVID-19 vaccines to adults. Breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infections raised concerns about real-world vaccine effectiveness. We aimed to evaluate effectiveness of four vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis among adults in Almaty using aggregated vaccination data and individual-level breakthrough COVID-19 cases (≥14 days from 2nd dose) using national surveillance data. We ran time-adjusted Cox-proportional-hazards model with sensitivity analysis accounting for varying entry into vaccinated cohort to assess vaccine effectiveness for each vaccine (measured as 1-adjusted hazard ratios) using the unvaccinated population as reference ( N = 565,390). We separately calculated daily cumulative hazards for COVID-19 breakthrough among vaccinated persons by age and vaccination month. Results From February 22 to September 1, 2021, in Almaty, 747,558 (57%) adults were fully vaccinated (received 2 doses), and 108,324 COVID-19 cases (11,472 breakthrough) were registered. Vaccine effectiveness against infection was 79% [sensitivity estimates (SE): 74%–82%] for QazVac, 77% (SE: 71%–81%) for Sputnik V, 71% (SE: 69%–72%) for Hayat-Vax, and 70% (SE: 65%–72%) for CoronaVac. Among vaccinated persons, the 90-day follow-up cumulative hazard for breakthrough infection was 2.2%. Cumulative hazard was 2.9% among people aged ≥60 years versus 1.9% among persons aged 18–39 years ( p < 0.001), and 1.2% for people vaccinated in February–May versus 3.3% in June–August (p < 0.001). Conclusion Our analysis demonstrates high effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against infection in Almaty similar to other observational studies. Higher cumulative hazard of breakthrough among people ≥60 years of age and during variant surges warrants targeted booster vaccination campaigns

Cohort · Cohort study · Confidence interval · Disease · Environmental health · Hazard ratio · Population · Proportional hazards model · Retrospective cohort study · Vaccination · Vaccine efficacy · Immune responses and vaccinations · Medicine · SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research · Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy · Internal Medicine · Virology

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    Open Access•Dilyara Nabirova, Roberta Horth et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2023

  • Outpatient pediatric care during the Covid-19 pandemic, Almaty, Kazakhstan 2021–2022

    Open Access•Nailya Kozhekenova, Milena M Santric-Milicevic et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2025

  • Cox's Regression Model for Counting Processes

    P K Andersen, P Andersen et al.•The Annals of Statistics•1982

  • Regression Models and Life-Tables

    Open Access•D R Cox•Journal of the Royal Statistical…•1972

Unique citing works2
Citations per year0.67
Citation span2023 - 2025 (3)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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