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Determinants of Tourism Stocks During the Covid-19

Evidence From the Deep Learning Models

Bibliographic Data

ID22087285
AuthorsWen-Tsao Pan (0000-0003-4482-7096, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies), Qiu-Yu Huang, Qiu Yu J Huang (0000-0001-5107-2336, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, corresponding author), Zi-Yin Yang (Guangdong University of Foreign Studies), Fei-Yan Zhu (Guangdong University of Foreign Studies), Yu-Ning Pang (Guangdong University of Foreign Studies), Mei-Er Zhuang (0000-0001-7912-955X, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies)
Year2021
Volume9
Pages675801-675801
Publication date2021-04-09
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFrontiers in Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2296-2565 • E-ISSN: 2296-2565
PublisherFrontiers Media SA (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3389/fpubh.2021.675801
PMID33898386
OpenAlexW3154922526
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited20

This paper examines the determinants of tourism stock returns in China from October 25, 2018, to October 21, 2020, including the COVID-19 era. We propose four deep learning prediction models based on the Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN): Quantum Swarm Intelligence Algorithms (QSIA), Quantum Step Fruit-Fly Optimization Algorithm (QSFOA), Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm (QPSO) and Quantum Genetic Algorithm (QGA). Firstly, the rough dataset is used to reduce the dimension of the indices. Secondly, the number of neurons in the multilayer of BPNN is optimized by QSIA, QSFOA, QPSO, and QGA, respectively. Finally, the deep learning models are then used to establish prediction models with the best number of neurons under these three algorithms for the non-linear real stock returns. The results indicate that the QSFOA-BPNN model has the highest prediction accuracy among all models, and it is defined as the most effective feasible method. This evidence is robust to different sub-periods

Algorithm · Artificial neural network · Deep learning · Geography · Machine learning · Mathematical optimization · Particle swarm optimization · Quantum · Swarm behaviour · Swarm intelligence · Computer Science · COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts · Diverse Aspects of Tourism Research · Mathematics · Stock Market Forecasting Methods · Artificial Intelligence

  • The impact of extreme climate on tourism sector international stock markets

    Open Access•Ran Wu, Hongjun Zeng et al.•Tourism Economics•2025

  • The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to Covid-19

    Open Access•Scott Baker, Scott R Baker et al.•The Review of Asset Pricing Studies•2020

  • Stock markets’ reaction to Covid-19

    Open Access•Badar Nadeem Ashraf•Research in International…•2020

  • Covid-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S&P1500

    Open Access•Mieszko Mazur, Man Dang et al.•Finance Research Letters•2021

Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Highly citedNo

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