Do agricultural commodity prices asymmetrically affect the performance of value-added agriculture? Evidence from Pakistan using a NARDL model
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 22230511 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Umair Kashif (0000-0001-6034-0371, Jiangsu University), Junguo Shi (0000-0001-7214-6867, Jiangsu University, corresponding author), Snovia Naseem (0000-0002-2463-1048, Jiangsu University), Muhammad Ayaz (0000-0002-1818-9564, Jiangsu University), Rehan Sohail Butt (0000-0003-2582-8456, Jiangsu University), Waris Ali Khan (0000-0003-2988-7920, Universiti of Malaysia Sabah), Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan (0000-0003-1665-807X, University of Portsmouth) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 10 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Publication date | 2023-07-08 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Humanities and Social Sciences Communications (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2662-9992 • E-ISSN: 2662-9992 |
| Publisher | Springer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1057/s41599-023-01888-4 |
| OpenAlex | W4383619813 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 39 |
In the last few decades, rising prices of agricultural commodities have been an area of concern for most countries owing to high population growth, increased unemployment, and per capita food needs. The current study intends to examine the positive and negative shocks of agricultural product prices, credit disbursement, and the labor force’s impact on the agricultural growth of Pakistan. The nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) method was applied using secondary data sources from 1970 to 2018. The results revealed that positive and negative price shocks contribute positively to agriculture growth; however, positive price shock has a more stimulating effect than negative prices. Furthermore, credit disbursement and labor force significantly positively impact agricultural value added in the short and long run. Finally, the study’s findings have far-reaching consequences for policymakers dealing with Pakistan’s asymmetric relationship between agricultural credit disbursement, commodity prices, and agricultural growth
Agricultural economics · Agriculture · Commodity · Disbursement · Distributed lag · Econometrics · Economics · Geography · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Per capita · Population · Agricultural risk and resilience · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Finance
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Long-Run Commodity Prices, Economic Growth, and Interest Rates
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Food security and African agriculture
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Why Has Africa Grown Slowly
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |