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Examining the relationship of inflation, gross domestic product, oil price, foreign direct investment, and trade openness on unemployment in Saudi Arabia

Bibliographic Data

ID22233166
AuthorsLansheng Cao (Zhongkai University of Agriculture and Engineering), Sayed Fayaz Ahmad (0000-0001-6866-3749, Institute of Business Management), Yajun Wang (0000-0002-1712-2819, Guangdong Food Industry Research Institute, corresponding author), Syed Jamal Shah (0000-0001-8296-0790), Syeda Wajeeha Ojala Shah (0000-0002-0553-2503, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, corresponding author), Muhammad Ibrahim (0000-0002-1556-8702, Khwaja Fareed University of Engineering and Information Technology), Fuad Mohammed Alhamdi (0000-0002-4345-1683), Fuad Mohammed Hussein Alhamdi (Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University), Mahmoud Izzat Allaham (Middle East University), Ansar Abbas (0000-0003-4521-1920, Khwaja Fareed University of Engineering and Information Technology)
Year2025
Volume12
Issue1
Publication date2025-05-31
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueHumanities and Social Sciences Communications (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2662-9992 • E-ISSN: 2662-9992
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1057/s41599-025-05059-5
OpenAlexW4410876306
LanguageEN
References cited67

The study examines the correlation between oil price, foreign direct investment (FDI), trade openness and real gross domestic product (GDP) with the unemployment rate in Saudi Arabia for the period 2016–2023. The study used EViews and excel for the data analysis; and employed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model for the extraction of results. The findings show that oil price FDI, trade openness, inflation and real GDP have significant negative correlation with unemployment rate, and any changes in these factors affect unemployment rate in the long term, with the coefficient −0.063, −1.630, −2.061, −3.170, and −0.353, standard error 0.097, 0.333, 0.716, 0.426, and 0.080 and t-statistics −6.507, −4.900, −2.877, −7.449, and −4.387 respectively. The results indicate that beside oil prices, there are other macroeconomic factors that also influence the unemployment rate, and show the importance of diversification of economy and reducing the reliance on oil. The findings have valuable insights for the economists and policymakers of Saudi Arabia and for other countries which mostly rely on oil exports

Economics · Foreign direct investment · Gross domestic product · International economics · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Oil price · Openness to experience · Unemployment · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Unemployment and Economic Growth

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