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Economic costs of U.S. wildfires

A meta-analysis

Bibliographic Data

ID22240227
AuthorsEvan E Hjerpe (0009-0002-5479-6422, Institute of Nature Conservation, corresponding author), Gwendolyn Aldrich (0009-0008-4702-7151, Institute of Nature Conservation), Melanie M Colavito (0000-0003-2089-5158, Ecological Engineering Institute), Andrew J Sánchez Meador (0000-0003-4238-8587, Ecological Engineering Institute)
Year2026
Volume26
Pages101372
Publication date2026-07-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueTrees Forests and People (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2666-7193 • E-ISSN: 2666-7193
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.tfp.2026.101372
OpenAlexW7167261648
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited44

Wildfires in the U.S. are increasing in size, severity, and frequency, leading to a wildfire crisis where at-risk communities are experiencing rapidly escalating wildfire damages. The wildfire crisis necessitates adapting to evolving natural disasters and implementing efforts to mitigate the economic costs of wildfire. Better understanding of the type and magnitude of economic costs, along with trends over time, can provide valuable information for avoiding or reducing wildfire damages. The research presented herein comprises two critical first steps of this larger research agenda. First, we performed a thorough review of published wildfire cost studies and used the results to develop a comprehensive wildfire cost categorization structure. The literature review bore costs from 29 individual wildfires, almost all with multiple types of costs (yielding 131 individual wildfire costs in total). Using the categorization structure, we classified the 131 wildfire costs into nine categories: Suppression, Evacuation, Structures & Contents, Structure-Related, Infrastructure, Mortality & Morbidity, Market Impacts, Ecosystem Services, and Rehabilitation. Second, we used multilevel modeling techniques to conduct a meta-analysis of the documented wildfire costs. We found that wildfire cost categories contribute to total costs at different rates, with economic costs being greatest for Structures & Contents (37%), Suppression (22%), and Ecosystem Service costs (18%). Our results show that wildfire costs have been increasing over the last two decades and human-ignitions are contributing to greater costs. Post-wildfire flooding costs, when present, represent a secondary natural disaster and tend to be greater than wildfire costs themselves. Overall, wildfire costs are infrequently and poorly documented, leading to deficient understanding of wildfire cost components

Cost–benefit analysis · Economic cost · Economic impact analysis · Ecosystem services · Natural disaster · Total cost · Fire dynamics and safety research · Fire effects on ecosystems · Flood Risk Assessment and Management

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Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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