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A Spatial Analysis of Decisions Made in Response to Simulated Tornado Warnings in the United States

Bibliographic Data

ID22331817
AuthorsTaylor A DeWinter-Maciag (Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies), R A Mcpherson (0000-0002-1497-9681, Climate Central)
Year2023
Volume15
Issue4
Pages999-1011
Publication date2023-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWeather, Climate, and Society (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1948-8327 • E-ISSN: 1948-8335
PublisherAmerican Meteorological Society (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1175/wcas-d-22-0133.1
OpenAlexW4387096399
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited30

Although decision-making in response to tornado warnings is well researched, most studies do not examine whether individual responses to these warnings vary across different geographical locations and demographic groups. This gap is addressed by using data from a decision experiment that places participants virtually in a simulated tornado warning and asks them to minimize the costs of their decisions. The authors examine the following: 1) what demographic attributes may contribute to choices to minimize costs to protect assets at a specific location in a tornado warning, 2) whether there is a spatial component to how these attributes influence decision-making, and 3) if there are specific U.S. regions where individuals do not make protective decisions that minimize their overall cost. Multilevel regression analysis and poststratification are applied to data from the simulated decision experiment to estimate which demographic attributes and National Weather Service County Warning Areas are most associated with the costliest protective decisions. The results are then analyzed using spatial autocorrelation to identify spatial patterns. Results indicate that sex, race, and ethnicity are important factors that influence protection decisions. Findings also show that people across the southern portions of the United States tend to make more costly protective decisions, as defined in this work

Actuarial science · Business · Environmental health · Geography · Meteorology · Poison control · Tornado · Disaster Management and Resilience · Engineering · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Medicine · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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