Community Response to Hurricane Threat
Estimates of Warning Issuance Time Distributions
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 22331896 |
|---|---|
| Autores | John H Sorensen (0000-0003-3078-4064, Oak Ridge National Laboratory), Michael K Lindell (0000-0001-6972-5120, University of Washington, autor correspondente), Earl J Baker (State University System of Florida), William P Lehman (d U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center, Davis, California), William Lehman (0000-0002-5816-8442, United States Army Corps of Engineers) |
| Ano | 2020 |
| Volume | 12 |
| Fascículo | 4 |
| Páginas | 837-846 |
| Data de publicação | 2020-10-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Não |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | Weather, Climate, and Society (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 1948-8327 • E-ISSN: 1948-8335 |
| Editora | American Meteorological Society (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1175/wcas-d-20-0031.1 |
| OpenAlex | W3092770376 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 7 |
| Referências citadas | 31 |
Hurricane evacuation warnings from local officials are one of the most significant determinants of households’ evacuation departure times. Consequently, it is important to know how long after the National Hurricane Center (NHC) issues a hurricane watch or warning that local officials wait to issue evacuation warnings. The distribution of local evacuation warning issuance delays determined from poststorm assessment data shows a wide range of warning issuance delay times over an 85-h time span, although the vast majority of times fall within a 40-h window. Nearly 30% of the jurisdictions issued evacuation warnings before an NHC hurricane warning. Only 5% delayed the decision for more than 25 h after the NHC hurricane warning. The curves for warning issuance delays, using both the NHC watch and NHC warning issuance times as reference points, are very different from the warning issuance curves observed for the rapid-onset events. The hurricane data exhibit much more of an “S shape” than the exponential shape that is seen for rapid-onset data. Instead, curves for three different types of storm tracks, defined by a perpendicular/parallel dimension and a straight/meandering dimension, follow three noticeably different logistic distributions. The data also indicate that warnings were issued significantly earlier for coastal counties than for inland counties. These results have direct practical value to analysts that are calculating evacuation time estimates for coastal jurisdictions. Moreover, they suggest directions for future research on the reasons for the timing of local officials’ hurricane evacuation decisions
Actuarial science · Business · Geography · Meteorology · Storm · Telecommunications · Warning system · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Evacuation and Crowd Dynamics · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Mathematics · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Emergency Warning Dissemination in a Multiplex Social Network
Compliance with government policies during emergencies
Incorporating human factors in emergency evacuation – An overview of behavioral factors and models
Local emergency management agencies’ hurricane evacuation decision making and population warning
Household Hurricane Evacuation Plan Adaptation in Response to Estimated Travel Delay Provided Prior to Departure
Changing Logistics of Evacuation Transportation in Hazardous Settings during Covid-19
Public management during a crisis
Household Decision Making and Evacuation in Response to Hurricane Lili
Hurricane Evacuation Behavior
Emerging Hurricane Evacuation Issues
Crying wolf
Household Evacuation Decision Making in Response to Hurricane Ike
Who Leaves and Who Stays? A Review and Statistical Meta-Analysis of Hurricane Evacuation Studies
A Mental Models Study of Hurricane Forecast and Warning Production, Communication, and Decision-Making
“Certain Death” from Storm Surge
A Coefficient of Agreement for Nominal Scales
Communicating environmental risk in multiethnic communities
A methodology for estimating emergency evacuation times
| Obras citantes distintas | 7 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 1,4 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2021 - 2025 (5) |
| Velocidade de citação | recent |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 5 |