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Promotion or inhibition of land use change impacts on the carbon neutrality target

A case study of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, China (2000–2020)

Bibliographic Data

ID22428071
AuthorsXiaonan Shi (0000-0002-8442-5625, Beijing Normal University), Wenjie Li (0000-0003-4413-5612, Beijing Normal University), Jingwen Zhao (0000-0002-2192-4320, Beijing Normal University), Pei Shi (0000-0002-2968-7331, Beijing Normal University), Peijun Shi (Beijing Normal University), Lu Jiang (0000-0003-4522-3614, Beijing Normal University, corresponding author)
Year2026
Volume21
Issue1
Pages267-286
Publication date2026-12-31
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Land Use Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1747-423X • E-ISSN: 1747-4248
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/1747423x.2026.2702081
OpenAlexW7168289211
LanguageEN
References cited41

The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, known as the ‘Third Pole,’ plays a key role in the global climate system. This study analyzes the characteristics and drivers of CO2 emissions in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, China, based on land use and energy consumption data from 2000, 2010, and 2020. Emissions and their spatial – temporal dynamics were assessed using a land use transfer matrix, emission coefficients, the carbon footprint model, and the Geodetector method. Results show marked land use changes from 2000 to 2020: cultivated land, forest land, and construction land increased by 12.24%, 2.19%, and 251.63%, respectively, while grassland declined by 7.88%. CO2 emissions rose sharply from 155.61 to 448.36 million tonnes. Land use transitions indicate weak coordination between natural and socio-economic systems. Emission growth was driven mainly by primary industry expansion from 2000 to 2010, and by urbanization from 2010 to 2020.

Carbon Footprint · China · Climate change · Grassland · Greenhouse gas · Land development · Land use · Land use, land-use change and forestry · Urbanization · Energy, Environment, Economic Growth · Environmental Impact and Sustainability · Land Use and Ecosystem Services

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