The Integration of Bayesian Regression Analysis and Bayesian Process Tracing in Mixed-Methods Research
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 2331187 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Lion Behrens (0000-0003-0493-0291, Independent Researcher, Frankfurt, Hessen, Germany), Ingo Rohlfing (0000-0001-8715-4771, University of Passau, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 55 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 186-218 |
| Publication date | 2025-01-23 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Sociological Methods & Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0049-1241 • E-ISSN: 1552-8294 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/00491241241295336 |
| OpenAlex | W4406769145 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 35 |
In this article, we develop a mixed-methods design that combines Bayesian regression with Bayesian process tracing. A fully Bayesian multimethod design allows one to include empirical knowledge at each stage of the analysis and to coherently transfer information from the quantitative to the qualitative analysis, and vice versa. We present a complete mixed-methods workflow explaining how this is accomplished and how to integrate both methods. It is demonstrated how to use the posterior highest density interval and the Bayes factor from the regression analysis to update the prior level of confidence about what mechanisms possibly connect the cause to the outcome. It is further shown how to choose cases for the qualitative analysis through posterior predictive sampling. We illustrate this approach with an empirical analysis of colonial development and compare it with alternative designs, including nested analysis and the Bayesian integration of qualitative and quantitative methods
Bayesian inference · Bayesian linear regression · Bayesian probability · Bayesian statistics · Econometrics · Machine learning · Political science · Process tracing · Regression analysis · Statistics · Advanced Causal Inference Techniques · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Evaluation and Performance Assessment · Mathematics · Qualitative Comparative Analysis Research
Process-Tracing Methods
Lineages of Despotism and Development
The Bayesian New Statistics
Bayes Factors
The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development
Multi-Method Social Science
Social Inquiry and Bayesian Inference
Integrated Inferences
The Case for Selecting Cases That Are Deviant or Extreme on the Independent Variable
Colonial legacies and economic growth
Democracy, Colonization, and Human Capital in Sub-Saharan Africa
Building on Solid Ground
The causal interpretation of estimated associations in regression models
Concepts and Measurement in Multimethod Research
Case Selection Techniques in Case Study Research
Relationships Among Rivals (RAR)
Updating Bayesian(s)
Explicit Bayesian Analysis for Process Tracing
The Legacy of Western Overseas Colonialism on Democratic Survival
What You See and What You Get
Is There a (Viable) Crucial-Case Method
The Mechanismic Worldview
Using Process Tracing to Improve Policy Making
Mixing Methods
Nested Analysis as a Mixed-Method Strategy for Comparative Research
Surprising Causes
Taking Causal Heterogeneity Seriously
Check Your Truth Conditions! Clarifying the Relationship between Theories of Causation and Social Science Methods for Causal Inference
Pathway Analysis and the Search for Causal Mechanisms
A Case for Cases
Political Inequality in 38 Countries
How to Conduct a Mixed Methods Study
The Imperial Origins of American Policing
| Unique citing works | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1 |
| Citation span | 2025 - 2025 (1) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |