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Effect of export diversification on economic growth in Ethiopia

Bibliographic Data

ID23312512
AuthorsGirum Dagne Fetene (0000-0002-0139-4844, Ospedale degli Infermi, corresponding author), Yismaw Ayelign Mengistu (0000-0002-8777-0627, Debre Tabor University)
Year2026
Volume4
Issue1
Publication date2026-07-23
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueDiscover Global Society (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2731-9687 • E-ISSN: 2731-9687
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1007/s44282-026-00489-1
OpenAlexW7170183727
LanguageEN
References cited28

This study investigates the effect of export diversification on economic growth in Ethiopia using time series data ranging from 1994 to 2024. The research applied the ARDL approach to co-integration. The ARDL bound test confirms that there is stable long-run co-integration among the variables included in the model. The long-run model estimation depicts that export diversification has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. This finding supports the export-led growth hypothesis, which is propounded by classical economists such as Adam Smith and David Ricardo, which argues that export growth is the main factor that determines overall economic growth. In the short run, the coefficient of the error correction term, -0.689, shows roughly a 68.9% annual adjustment toward long-run equilibrium. The study suggests that the government has to promote agro-processing, strengthen market access, enhance agricultural financing, and empower cooperatives and farmers to diversify exports.

Diversification (marketing strategy) · Foreign direct investment · Production (economics) · Productivity · Economic and Technological Innovation · Economic Growth and Development · Global trade and economics

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