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The Risk Perception Paradox—Implications for Governance and Communication of Natural Hazards

Bibliographic Data

ID23312980
AuthorsGisela Wachinger (Department of Social Sciences V: Environmental Sociology and Technology Assessment University of Stuttgart Stuttgart Germany), Ortwin Renn (0000-0002-2283-4247, Department of Social Sciences V: Environmental Sociology and Technology Assessment University of Stuttgart Stuttgart Germany, corresponding author), Chloe Begg (0000-0003-3563-3214, Department Urban and Environmental Sociology Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ Leipzig Germany), Christian Kuhlicke (0000-0002-1193-228X, Department Urban and Environmental Sociology Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ Leipzig Germany)
Year2013
Volume33
Issue6
Pages1049-1065
Publication date2013-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueRisk Analysis (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0272-4332 • E-ISSN: 1539-6924
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01942.x
PMID23278120
OpenAlexW1950669244
LanguageEN
Citations received593
References cited62

This article reviews the main insights from selected literature on risk perception, particularly in connection with natural hazards. It includes numerous case studies on perception and social behavior dealing with floods, droughts, earthquakes, volcano eruptions, wild fires, and landslides. The review reveals that personal experience of a natural hazard and trust—or lack of trust—in authorities and experts have the most substantial impact on risk perception. Cultural and individual factors such as media coverage, age, gender, education, income, social status, and others do not play such an important role but act as mediators or amplifiers of the main causal connections between experience, trust, perception, and preparedness to take protective actions. When analyzing the factors of experience and trust on risk perception and on the likeliness of individuals to take preparedness action, the review found that a risk perception paradox exists in that it is assumed that high risk perception will lead to personal preparedness and, in the next step, to risk mitigation behavior. However, this is not necessarily true. In fact, the opposite can occur if individuals with high risk perception still choose not to personally prepare themselves in the face of a natural hazard. Therefore, based on the results of the review, this article offers three explanations suggesting why this paradox might occur. These findings have implications for future risk governance and communication as well as for the willingness of individuals to invest in risk preparedness or risk mitigation actions.

Business · Computer security · Corporate governance · Geography · Hazard · Natural hazard · Perception · Political science · Preparedness · Public relations · Risk assessment · Risk Governance · Risk management · Risk perception · Computer Science · Disaster Management and Resilience · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Psychology · Risk Perception and Management · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works593
Citations per year45,62
Citation span2013 - 2026 (14)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 556

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