Evaluating Human Service and Correctional Programs By Modeling the Timing of Recidivism

Dados Bibliográficos

AUTOR(ES) Howard S. Bloom
AFILIAÇÃO(ÕES) Harvard University
ANO 1979
TIPO Artigo
PERIÓDICO Sociological Methods and Research
ISSN 0049-1241
E-ISSN 1552-8294
EDITORA SAGE Publications
DOI 10.1177/004912417900800204
CITAÇÕES 2
ADICIONADO EM 2025-08-18
MD5 cc69cebb8a66fe52febb9934a6198e96

Resumo

This paper develops and illustrates a new statistical model of recidivism which enables program evaluators to (1) examine short-run program impact on the postponement of recidivism, through estimates of the average time at which recidivism occurs; (2) measure long-run program impact on the prevention of recidivism, through estimates of the ultimate probability ofrecidivism and (3) help determine when individuals have been successful long enough to be considered 'safe,' through estimates of their conditional probability of future recidivism.

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