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Correlation In Time Series Regression

The Geary Test

Bibliographic Data

ID2331422
AuthorsRobert Nash Parker (University of Akron, corresponding author)
Year1980
Volume9
Issue1
Pages99-114
Publication date1980-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSociological Methods & Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0049-1241 • E-ISSN: 1552-8294
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/004912418000900105
OpenAlexW2017515796
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited20

Sociologists have recently become more interested in testing dynamic models of social change via time series regression techniques (e.g., Snyder, 1975; Franke and Kaul, 1978; Burstein and Freudenburg, 1978). The existence of serial correlation in the disturbance term, which would constitute a violation of one of the standard regression model assumptions, is usually tested for in such models via the Durbm-Watson (1950, 1951) d test statrstic. However, the Durbin-Watson test often allows no inference concerning the existence of serial correlation because the critical values of the test cannot be tabulated exactly. Geary †1970∪ proposed a test statistic, tau, which is easy to calculate and has an exact probability distribution. This article discusses serial correlation and its consequences for OLS regression equations, proposes the Geary test as a convenient addition to the Durbin-Watson test, and argues that the Geary test provides additional information, especially in the case of indeterminancy in the Durbin-Watson. The use of tau is illustrated by replications of three sociological studies and, although the Geary test is consistently less powerful than the Durbin-Watson test, it is a useful additional piece of information in most situations

Autocorrelation · Econometrics · Inference · Regression · Regression analysis · Series (stratigraphy) · Statistic · Statistical hypothesis testing · Statistics · Test (biology) · Test statistic · Watson · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Mathematics

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year0,05
Citation span1984 - 1985 (2)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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