Rejecting or Accepting Parameter Values in Bayesian Estimation
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 23317320 |
|---|---|
| Authors | John K Kruschke (0000-0003-2001-3485, Indiana University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2018 |
| Volume | 1 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 270-280 |
| Publication date | 2018-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2515-2459 • E-ISSN: 2515-2467 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1177/2515245918771304 |
| OpenAlex | W2801776818 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 109 |
| References cited | 40 |
This article explains a decision rule that uses Bayesian posterior distributions as the basis for accepting or rejecting null values of parameters. This decision rule focuses on the range of plausible values indicated by the highest density interval of the posterior distribution and the relation between this range and a region of practical equivalence (ROPE) around the null value. The article also discusses considerations for setting the limits of a ROPE and emphasizes that analogous considerations apply to setting the decision thresholds for p values and Bayes factors.
Algorithm · Bayes factor · Bayes' theorem · Bayesian inference · Bayesian linear regression · Bayesian probability · Credible interval · Econometrics · Null hypothesis · Posterior probability · Range (aeronautics) · Rope · Statistics · Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference · Computer Science · Engineering · Mathematics · Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference · Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
Experience and Self-Interest
A simulation-based framework for tracking decision-making development in youth basketball
Bayesian Statistics
BayestestR
Capturing Thresholds and Continuities
After All This Time? The Impact of Media and Authoritarian History on Political News Coverage in Twelve Western Countries
Improving Inferences About Null Effects With Bayes Factors and Equivalence Tests
Escaping the digital panopticon? Longitudinal effects of dataveillance salience shocks on privacy attitudes and inhibited behaviors
Unequal experiences, unequal outcomes? Digital inequalities in experiencing online benefits and privacy harms, mistrust, and self-inhibiting behaviors
Age Differences in Everyday Emotional Experience
Awareness of age-related gains and losses as moderators of daily stress reactivity in middle- and older-adulthood
Chronic Effects of a Training Program Using a Nasal Inspiratory Restriction Device on Elite Cyclists
Models as Prediction Machines
Sample-Size Planning for Frequentist and Bayesian 2 × 2 Analysis-of-Variance Designs
Heart rate variability, psychological variables, and executive performance in teachers
Differences of Opinions
Stimulus-category confounds reduce, but do not explain, different roles of intent across moral domains
Tackling Math Anxiety
Multi-Dimensional Evaluation of an Augmented Reality Head-Mounted Display User Interface for Controlling Legged Manipulators
An Integrated 3D Eye-Gaze Tracking Framework for Assessing Trust in Human–Robot Interaction
Affinity Diagramming with a Robot
Heterogeneous self-efficacy effects in mathematics pre-service teachers’ AI adoption
Walking and subjective sleep quality in adults
Why Hypothesis Testers Should Spend Less Time Testing Hypotheses
Individual Differences in Perceived Linguistic Change Following Life-Course Transitions in the Personal Domain
Effects of graphical representations on teachers’ interpretation of learning progress data. A registered replication
The interaction of central and peripheral processing in L2 handwritten production
Height shows no clear association with self-serving beliefs about wealth redistribution
I don’t see what you’re saying
Memory precision for salient distractors decreases with learned suppression
Children’s failure to control variables may reflect adaptive decision-making
Within-subject confidence intervals for pairwise differences in scatter plots
Investigating the relationship between the Bayes factor and the separation of credible intervals
With Bayesian estimation one can get all that Bayes factors offer, and more
Divergent modes of episodic organization underlie whether emotional learning enhances memory across event boundaries
Revisiting the post-resolution positivity effect in conflict tasks
Model-averaged Bayesian t tests
Ambiguity preferences in intertemporal and risky choice
Auditory-conceptual associations in Peter and the Wolf and Carnival of the Animals
A Bayesian perspective on severity
Can third-party observers detect attraction in others based on subtle nonverbal cues
When (deliberate) practice is not enough – the role of intelligence, practice, and knowledge in academic performance
Predictors of compliance with Covid-19 guidelines across countries
Event centrality in social anxiety disorder and major depressive disorder
Empirical evidence for moral Bayesianism
Haven’t I seen you before? Conceptual but not perceptual prior familiarity enhances face recognition memory
Valenced Priming with Acquired Affective Concepts in Music
The differential outcomes procedure for improving the recognition of dynamic facial expressions of emotion in people with autism spectrum disorders and first-degree relatives
Recurrent involuntary memories and mind wandering are related but distinct
Error modulates categorization of subsecond durations in multitasking contexts
Evaluative conditioning of responses to unfamiliar chords by exposure to valenced images
Variability and individual differences in L2 sociolinguistic evaluations
Conceptually Cued Perceptual Categorization in Adult L2 Learners
Statistical Insignificance is not wholesale transfer in L3 Acquisition
A Bayesian approach to (re)examining learning effects of cognitive linguistics–inspired instruction
Serial reproduction of narratives preserves emotional appraisals
Video‐enhanced or textual rubrics
A Tutorial for Deception Detection Analysis or
Mental rotation and schizotypal personality traits
Uncertainty in grid data
Decrypting the Codes
Sociolinguistic competence and varietal repertoires in a second language
Mindfulness and connection training during preservice teacher education reduces early career teacher attrition 4 years later
Concentration toward the mode
A Bayesian approach for exploring person × environment interaction within the environmental sensitivity meta‐framework
Facial first impressions form two clusters representing approach-avoidance
Motor outcomes congruent with intentions may sharpen metacognitive representations
How does a blind person see? Developmental change in applying visual verbs to agents with disabilities
Can the prosocial benefits of episodic simulation transfer to different people and situational contexts
Low socioeconomic status amplifies the perceived rarity of large rewards
Perception Over Personality in Lethal Force
Individual differences in event experiences and psychosocial factors as drivers for perceived linguistic change following occupational major life events
On the relationship between complexity of primary occupation and L2 varietal behavior in adult migrants in Austria
Echoes of Culture
Dual-brain dynamics underlying consumer preferences for recommendations in choice assortments
Hot-headed” students? Scientific literacy, perceptions and awareness of climate change in 15-year olds across 54 countries
The over-representation of phonological features in basic vocabulary doesn’t replicate when controlling for spatial and phylogenetic effects
TH-stopping in Philadelphia Puerto Rican English
Spatial, occupational, and age-related effects on reported variation in colloquial German
Trends in youth civic engagement before, during, and after the Covid-19 pandemic
Making the Unfamiliar Familiar
Participant and musical characteristics influence singers’ physiological stress during opera performances
Delivering therapy over telephone in a humanitarian setting
Designing a Positive Health Dialogue Tool for Adolescents and Young Adults
Exploring variation in sociolinguistic evaluation across human and machine talkers
Task-dependent neural correlates of L2 emotion-label versus emotion-laden word processing
Temporal Preparation and Executive Functions in the Context of a Variable Foreperiod Stop‐Signal Paradigm in Macaque Monkey
How to Choose between Different Bayesian Posterior Indices for Hypothesis Testing in Practice
Perceptual assessment of phonetic convergence between speakers
Phonetic prominence and lexical stress in Munster Irish, 1928 and 2020–21
Where there’s a will, there’s a way
Park and Recreational Facility Availability, Leisure-Time Physical Activity, Socioeconomic Status, and Race
Do voices carry valid information about a speaker’s personality
The Role of Emotion Projection, Sexual Desire, and Self-Rated Attractiveness in the Sexual Overperception Bias
Processing pronunciation variation with independently mappable allophones
Does Size Matter? Impact of Handling Diagrams Presenting Different Amounts of Data on Students' Arguments in Educational Lab Settings
Mortality perceptions in the context of the Trivers-Willard hypothesis
Updating evidence on facial metrics
From eye to cortex
Performance Information, Racial Bias, and Citizen Evaluations of Government
The Oxford Handbook of Computational and Mathematical Psychology
How Bayes factors change scientific practice
The Persistence of Underpowered Studies in Psychological Research
Sequential hypothesis testing with Bayes factors
The ASA Statement on p -Values
A comparison of the Two One-Sided Tests Procedure and the Power Approach for assessing the equivalence of average bioavailability
Bayesian Assessment of Null Values Via Parameter Estimation and Model Comparison
The Bayesian New Statistics
Bayesian data analysis for newcomers
The Time Has Come
Bayes Factors
The New Statistics
Equivalence Tests
Rationality in psychological research
Performing high‐powered studies efficiently with sequential analyses
Theory-Testing in Psychology and Physics
Big data in psychology
Justify your alpha
Redefine statistical significance
A Bayes factor meta-analysis of recent extrasensory perception experiments
| Unique citing works | 109 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 13,63 |
| Citation span | 2018 - 2026 (9) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 107 |