Mapping HIV prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2017

Bibliographic Data

ID23333395
AuthorsLaura Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura Dwyer‐Lindgren (0000-0002-3872-6451, University of Washington), Michael A Cork (University of Washington), Amber Sligar (University of Washington), Krista M Steuben (University of Washington), Kate Wilson (0000-0002-0414-4082, University of Washington), Kate F Wilson, Naomi R Provost (University of Washington), Benjamin K Mayala (0000-0002-9723-027X, ICF International (United States)), John D VanderHeide (University of Washington), Michael L Collison (University of Washington), Jason Hall (0000-0003-4232-4401, University of Washington), Jason B Hall, Molly H Biehl (University of Washington), Austin Carter (0000-0002-3588-6142, University of Washington), Tahvi Frank (0000-0002-1972-782X, University of Washington), Dirk Douwes-Schultz, Dirk Douwes‐Schultz (0000-0002-6186-2275, University of Washington), Roy Burstein (0000-0001-8991-4762, University of Washington), Daniel Casey (0000-0003-2115-4431, University of Washington), Daniel C Casey, Aniruddha Deshpande (0000-0003-0427-241X, University of Washington), Lucas Earl (University of Washington), Charbel El Bcheraoui (0000-0003-3117-9966, University of Washington), Tamer H Farag (0000-0003-1826-6600, University of Washington), Nathaniel J Henry (0000-0001-8150-4988, University of Washington), Damaris K Kinyoki (University of Washington), Damaris Kinyoki, Laurie B Marczak (0000-0001-5979-4261, University of Washington), Molly R Nixon (University of Washington), Aaron Osgood-Zimmerman, Aaron Osgood‐Zimmerman (0000-0002-6563-7366, University of Washington), David M Pigott (0000-0002-6731-4034, University of Washington), David Pigott, Robert C Reiner (0000-0003-1056-7919, University of Washington), Jennifer M Ross (0000-0001-5677-939X, University of Washington), Lauren E Schaeffer (0000-0002-9761-6332, University of Washington), David L Smith (0000-0002-6456-5444), Nicole Davis Weaver (0000-0002-7205-9621, University of Washington), Kirsten E Wiens (0000-0003-4093-4054, University of Washington), John W Eaton (0000-0001-7728-728X, University of Washington), Jeffrey W Eaton, Jessica Justman (0000-0003-4704-3115, Columbia University), Jessica E Justman, Alex Opio, Benn Sartorius (0000-0001-6761-2325, University of KwaZulu-Natal), Frank Tanser (0000-0001-9797-0000, Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa), Njeri Wabiri (0000-0002-7436-3504, Human Sciences Research Council), Peter Piot (London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Christopher J L Murray (0000-0002-4930-9450, University of Washington), Simon I Hay (0000-0002-0611-7272, University of Washington, corresponding author)
Year2019
Volume570
Issue7760
Pages189-193
Publication date2019-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueNature (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0028-0836 • E-ISSN: 1476-4687
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1038/s41586-019-1200-9
PMID31092927
OpenAlexW2946597534
LanguageEN
Citations received61
References cited39

HIV/AIDS is a leading cause of disease burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Existing evidence has demonstrated that there is substantial local variation in the prevalence of HIV; however, subnational variation has not been investigated at a high spatial resolution across the continent. Here we explore within-country variation at a 5 × 5-km resolution in sub-Saharan Africa by estimating the prevalence of HIV among adults (aged 15–49 years) and the corresponding number of people living with HIV from 2000 to 2017. Our analysis reveals substantial within-country variation in the prevalence of HIV throughout sub-Saharan Africa and local differences in both the direction and rate of change in HIV prevalence between 2000 and 2017, highlighting the degree to which important local differences are masked when examining trends at the country level. These fine-scale estimates of HIV prevalence across space and time provide an important tool for precisely targeting the interventions that are necessary to bringing HIV infections under control in sub-Saharan Africa. Fine-scale estimates of the prevalence of HIV in adults across sub-Saharan Africa reveal substantial within-country variation and local differences in both the direction and rate of change in the prevalence of HIV between 2000 and 2017.

Biology · Developing country · Environmental health · Geography · Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) · Population · Prevalence · Psychological intervention · Variation (astronomy) · Adolescent Sexual and Reproductive Health · Demography · Ecology · HIV Research and Treatment · HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions · Medicine · Virology

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