Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Modeling Metal Stocks and Flows

A Review of Dynamic Material Flow Analysis Methods

Bibliographic Data

ID23339754
AuthorsEsther Müller (Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology, corresponding author), Lorenz M Hilty (0000-0001-5020-0586, University of Zurich), Rolf Widmer (0000-0002-8203-7872, Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology), Mathias Schluep (Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology), Martin Faulstich (Clausthal University of Technology)
Year2014
Volume48
Issue4
Pages2102-2113
Publication date2014-02-18
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Science & Technology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-936X • E-ISSN: 1520-5851
PublisherAmerican Chemical Society (ACS) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1021/es403506a
PMID24494583
OpenAlexW2072838135
LanguageEN
Citations received87
References cited83

Dynamic material flow analysis (MFA) is a frequently used method to assess past, present, and future stocks and flows of metals in the anthroposphere. Over the past fifteen years, dynamic MFA has contributed to increased knowledge about the quantities, qualities, and locations of metal-containing goods. This article presents a literature review of the methodologies applied in 60 dynamic MFAs of metals. The review is based on a standardized model description format, the ODD (overview, design concepts, details) protocol. We focus on giving a comprehensive overview of modeling approaches and structure them according to essential aspects, such as their treatment of material dissipation, spatial dimension of flows, or data uncertainty. The reviewed literature features similar basic modeling principles but very diverse extrapolation methods. Basic principles include the calculation of outflows of the in-use stock based on inflow or stock data and a lifetime distribution function. For extrapolating stocks and flows, authors apply constant, linear, exponential, and logistic models or approaches based on socioeconomic variables, such as regression models or the intensity-of-use hypothesis. The consideration and treatment of further aspects, such as dissipation, spatial distribution, and data uncertainty, vary significantly and highly depends on the objectives of each study.

Data mining · Econometrics · Extrapolation · Industrial engineering · Material flow analysis · Operations research · Statistics · Stock (firearms) · Computer Science · Engineering · Environmental Impact and Sustainability · Environmental Science · Extraction and Separation Processes · Mathematics · Mechanical Engineering · Recycling and Waste Management Techniques

  • A new method to estimate the lifetime of long‐life product categories

    Open Access•Cyrille F Dunant, Trishla Shah et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2021

  • Taking Stock of Built Environment Stock Studies

    Open Access•Maud Lanau, Gang Liu et al.•Environmental Science & Technology•2019

  • Studying construction materials flows and stock

    Open Access•Vincent Augiseau, Sabine Barles•Resources Conservation and…•2017

  • Global socioeconomic material stocks rise 23-fold over the 20th century and require half of annual resource use

    Open Access•Fridolin Krausmann, Dominik Wiedenhofer et al.•Proceedings of the National…•2017

  • The Material Stock–Flow–Service Nexus

    Open Access•H Haberl, Dominik Wiedenhofer et al.•Sustainability•2017

  • Promoting future sustainable utilization of rare earth elements for efficient lighting technologies

    Open Access•Chen Zhong, Yong Geng et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2023

  • Society’s material stocks as carbon pool

    Open Access•Lisa Kaufmann, Dominik Wiedenhofer et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2024

  • EU’s recycled content targets of lithium-ion batteries are likely to compromise critical metal circularity

    Open Access•Haiwei Zhou, Yuyao Yang et al.•One Earth•2024

  • Indirect mineral import reliance and provenance

    Open Access•Jamie L Brainard, Andrew L Gulley et al.•Mineral Economics•2026

  • Combining the worlds of energy systems and material flow analysis

    Open Access•Felix Kullmann, Peter Markewitz et al.•Energy Sustainability and Society•2021

  • Resilience and malleability

    Open Access•H Haberl, Stefan Giljum et al.•Ecological Economics•2026

  • Under net-zero ambitions and decent living standards

    Open Access•Peixiu Chen, Ni Sheng et al.•Environmental Impact Assessment…•2026

  • A systems representation of the Circular Economy

    Open Access•Daniel Guzzo, Vinicius Picanço Rodrigues et al.•Technological Forecasting and…•2021

  • Lifetimes of demolished buildings in US and European cities

    Open Access•Juliana Berglund-Brown, Isaac Dobie et al.•Buildings and Cities•2025

  • Constraints to Energy Transition in Metropolitan Areas

    Open Access•Ibai de Juan, Carmen Hidalgo Giralt et al.•Urban Science•2025

  • Growing stocks of buildings, infrastructures and machinery as key challenge for compliance with climate targets

    Open Access•Fridolin Krausmann, Dominik Wiedenhofer et al.•Global Environmental Change•2020

  • Tracking the global anthropogenic gallium cycle during 2000–2020

    Open Access•Ziyan Gao, Yong Geng et al.•Global Environmental Change•2024

  • Assessing environmental implications associated with global copper demand and supply scenarios from 2010 to 2050

    Open Access•Koen Kuipers, Koen J J Kuipers et al.•Global Environmental Change•2018

  • Hazardous waste from the global shipbreaking industry

    Open Access•Lin Lin, K Feng et al.•Global Environmental Change•2022

  • From resource extraction to outflows of wastes and emissions

    Open Access•Fridolin Krausmann, Christian Lauk et al.•Global Environmental Change•2018

  • Steel stocks and flows of global merchant fleets as material base of international trade from 1980 to 2050

    Open Access•Xianghui Kong, K Feng et al.•Global Environmental Change•2022

  • Prospects for a saturation of humanity’s resource use? An analysis of material stocks and flows in nine world regions from 1900 to 2035

    Open Access•Dominik Wiedenhofer, Tomer Fishman et al.•Global Environmental Change•2021

  • Evolution of Erois of electricity until 2050

    Open Access•Alexandre Fabre•Ecological Economics•2019

  • Integrating Material Stock Dynamics Into Economy-Wide Material Flow Accounting

    Open Access•Dominik Wiedenhofer, Tomer Fishman et al.•Ecological Economics•2018

  • Circular economy strategies for electric vehicle batteries reduce reliance on raw materials

    Open Access•Joris Baars, Teresa Doménech et al.•Nature Sustainability•2020

  • Impact of the establishment of US offshore wind power on neodymium flows

    Open Access•Tomer Fishman, T E Graedel•Nature Sustainability•2019

  • Material efficiency to tackle the sand crisis

    Open Access•Zhi Cao, Erika Masanet•Nature Sustainability•2022

  • Regional economic potential for recycling consumer waste electronics in the United States

    Open Access•Peng Peng, Arman Shehabi•Nature Sustainability•2022

  • A review of methods to trace material flows into final products in dynamic material flow analysis

    Open Access•Jan Streeck, Stefan Pauliuk et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2023

  • The evolution of material stock research

    Open Access•Chenling Fu, Yan Zhang et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2022

  • A hybrid material flow analysis for quantifying multilevel anthropogenic resources

    Open Access•Kuang‐Ly Cheng, Shu‐Chien Hsu et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2019

  • Evolution of the anthropogenic chromium cycle in China

    Open Access•Ziyan Gao, Yong Geng et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2022

  • System dynamics modeling of the global nickel supply system at a mine‐level resolution

    Open Access•Jessie E Bradley, Willem L Auping et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2025

  • Evaluation of Modeling Approaches to Determine End‐of‐Life Flows Associated with Buildings

    Open Access•Nađa Džubur, David Laner•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2018

  • Material flow analysis of zinc during the manufacturing process in integrated steel mills in China

    Open Access•Yuhua Guo, Junmao Qie et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2021

  • Material system analysis

    Open Access•Cristina T Matos, Fabrice Mathieux et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2022

  • Backlighting the European Indium Recycling Potentials

    Open Access•Luca Ciacci, Tim T Werner et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2019

  • Sector‐specific scenarios for future stocks and flows of aluminum

    Open Access•Julien Pedneault, Guillaume Majeau‐Bettez et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2022

  • A hierarchical Bayesian regression model that reduces uncertainty in material demand predictions

    Open Access•Karan Bhuwalka, Eunseo Choi et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2023

  • Time‐differentiating methods for life cycle assessment of the industry transition toward climate neutrality

    Open Access•Ladislaus Lang‐Quantzendorff, Martin Beermann•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2025

  • A general framework for stock dynamics of populations and built and natural environments

    Open Access•Dirk Lauinger, Romain G Billy et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2021

  • Does increased circularity lead to environmental sustainability

    Open Access•Sandra Boldoczki, Andrea Thorenz et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2021

  • Critical review of global plastics stock and flow data

    Open Access•Chunyan Wang, Yi Liu et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2021

  • High‐resolution quantification of building stock using multi‐source remote sensing imagery and deep learning

    Open Access•Yi Bao, Zhou Huang et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2023

  • A comparison study of bottom‐up and top‐down methods for analyzing the physical composition of municipal solid waste

    Open Access•Chuanbin Zhou, Shijun Ma et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2022

  • Maintenance and Expansion

    Open Access•Dominik Wiedenhofer, J Steinberger et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2015

  • Material stock development of the transport sector in the city of Vienna

    Open Access•Andreas Gassner, Jakob Lederer et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2020

  • Embodied GHGs in a Fast Growing City

    Open Access•Verena Göswein, J S Krones et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2018

  • Simultaneously tracing the fate of seven metals at a global level with MaTrace‐multi

    Open Access•Christoph Helbig, Yasushi Kondo et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2022

  • Tracking Construction Material over Space and Time

    Open Access•Niko Heeren, Stefanie Hellweg•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2019

  • A comprehensive set of global scenarios of housing, mobility, and material efficiency for material cycles and energy systems modeling

    Open Access•Tomer Fishman, Niko Heeren et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2021

  • Long‐term lifetime trends of large appliances since the introduction in Norwegian households

    Open Access•Kamila Krych, Johan B Pettersen•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2025

  • In‐use dissipation of technology‐critical elements from vehicles and renewable energy technologies in Vienna, Austria

    Open Access•André Baumgart, Daniela Haluza et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2024

  • Circular battery production in the EU

    Open Access•Raphael Ginster, Steffen Blömeke et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2024

  • Global Life Cycle Paper Flows, Recycling Metrics, and Material Efficiency

    Open Access•Stijn van Ewijk, Julia A Stegemann et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2018

  • Can circular economy strategies address resource constraints for lithium‐ion batteries? A comprehensive dynamic material flow analysis of lithium flows in China's battery sector

    Open Access•Haoning Liu, Teresa Doménech•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2025

  • From extraction to end‐uses and waste management

    Open Access•Dominik Wiedenhofer, Jan Streeck et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2024

  • Material flow and supply–demand feature of thulium in China

    Open Access•Tianyu Zhang, Tian-Yu Zhang et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2024

  • Odym—An open software framework for studying dynamic material systems

    Open Access•Stefan Pauliuk, Niko Heeren•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2020

  • Service Lifetime, Storage Time, and Disposal Pathways of Electronic Equipment

    Open Access•Esther Thiébaud, Lorenz M Hilty et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2018

  • Semisupervised machine learning classification framework for material intensity parameters of residential buildings

    Open Access•Xaysackda Vilaysouk, Savath Saypadith et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2022

  • Added Values of Time Series in Material Flow Analysis

    Open Access•Ottavia Zoboli, David Laner et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2016

  • The use of steel in the United Kingdom's transport sector

    Open Access•Luis Gabriel Carmona, Kai Whiting et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2021

  • Seven decades of plastic flows and stocks in the United States and pathways toward zero plastic pollution by 2050

    Open Access•Mengqing Kan, Chunyan Wang et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2023

  • Modeling copper demand in China up to 2050

    Open Access•Di Dong, Arnold Tukker et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2019

  • Quo vadis MFA? Integrated material flow analysis to support material efficiency

    Open Access•Joris Baars, Mohammad Ali Rajaeifar et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2022

  • The potential for material circularity and independence in the U.S. steel sector

    Open Access•Daniel Cooper, Daniel R Cooper et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2020

  • The link between product service lifetime and GHG emissions

    Open Access•Simon Glöser‐chahoud, Matthias Pfaff et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2021

  • From the urban metabolism to the urban immune system

    Open Access•David Bristow, Eugene Mohareb•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2020

  • Exploring the feasibility of construction and demolition waste recycling in an emerging Indian city using a dynamic modeling approach

    Open Access•Namya Sharma, Deepjyoti Das et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2025

  • Towards a multiscale framework for modeling and improving the life cycle environmental performance of built stocks

    Open Access•André Stephan, Robert H Crawford et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2022

  • Theodor Weyl

    Open Access•Jakob Lederer, Ulrich Kral•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2015

  • The Weight of Society Over Time and Space

    Open Access•Hiroki Tanikawa, Tomer Fishman et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2015

  • Pathways to zero plastic waste landfill

    Open Access•Kunle Ibukun Olatayo, Paul T Mativenga et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2024

  • A Probabilistic Dynamic Material Flow Analysis Model for Chinese Urban Housing Stock

    Open Access•Zhi Cao, Lei Shen et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2018

  • City‐scale assessment of the material and environmental footprint of buildings using an advanced building information model

    Open Access•Natthanij Soonsawad, Raymundo Marcos-Martinez et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2024

  • The Ferrous Find

    Open Access•Tao Wang, Daniel B Müller et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2015

  • Evaluating the Use of Global Sensitivity Analysis in Dynamic MFA

    Open Access•Nađa Džubur, Hanno Buchner et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2017

  • Synergy or Strife? Integrated assessment of economy–resource–environment development in Yangtze River Delta region based on material flow analysis and system dynamics

    Open Access•Jiawei Chen, Hong Chen et al.•Environment Development and…•2024

  • Hybrid multi-stage steel footprinting unveils a more interdependent material foundation of the global economy

    Open Access•Xinyi Li, Chao Zhang et al.•Ecological Economics•2025

  • The evolution and decoupling of in-use stocks in Beijing

    Open Access•Tiejun Dai, Zhongchun Yue•Ecological Economics•2023

  • Material services in an emerging economy

    Open Access•Thi Cuc Nguyen, Alessio Miatto et al.•Ecological Economics•2024

  • An Integrated Material Flows, Stakeholders and Policies Approach to Identify and Exploit Regional Resource Potentials

    Open Access•Rebekka Volk, Richard Müller et al.•Ecological Economics•2019

  • The socio-economic drivers of material stock accumulation in Japan's prefectures

    Open Access•Tomer Fishman, Heinz Schandl et al.•Ecological Economics•2015

  • Illumination as a material service

    Open Access•Kai Whiting, Luis Gabriel Carmona et al.•Ecological Economics•2020

  • Economic Growth and the Evolution of Material Cycles

    Open Access•Chao Zhang, Wei‐Qiang Chen et al.•Ecological Economics•2017

  • Identifying the lifecycle ODP and GWP effects of the refrigerants from household air-conditioners in Macau

    Open Access•Zhongcai Wang, Qingbin Song et al.•Environmental Impact Assessment…•2021

  • Metabolism of the Anthroposphere

    Open Access•Peter Baccini, Paul H Brunner•Metabolism of the Anthroposphere•1991

  • The ODD protocol

    Open Access•Volker Grimm, Uta Berger et al.•Ecological Modelling•2010

  • A standard protocol for describing individual-based and agent-based models

    Open Access•Volker Grimm, Uta Berger et al.•Ecological Modelling•2006

  • Platinum Group Metal Flows of Europe, Part II

    Open Access•Mathieu Saurat, Bringezu•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2009

  • Lead In‐Use Stock

    Open Access•Jiansu Mao, T E Graedel•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2009

  • Lifespan of Commodities, Part I

    Open Access•Shinsuke Murakami, Masahiro Oguchi et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2010

  • What Is Resource Consumption and How Can It Be Measured

    Open Access•Stefan Gößling‐Reisemann•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2008

  • Lifespan of Commodities, Part II

    Open Access•Masahiro Oguchi, Shinsuke Murakami et al.•Journal of Industrial Ecology•2010

  • Twentieth century copper stocks and flows in North America

    Open Access•Sabrina Spatari, M Bertram et al.•Ecological Economics•2005

  • Quantifying U.S. aluminum in-use stocks and their relationship with economic output

    Open Access•Colin McMillan, Colin A McMillan et al.•Ecological Economics•2010

  • The contemporary European copper cycle

    Open Access•Helmut Rechberger, T E Graedel•Ecological Economics•2002

  • Dynamic analysis of aluminum stocks and flows in the United States

    Open Access•Wei‐Qiang Chen, Wei-Qiang Chen et al.•Ecological Economics•2012

  • Stock dynamics for forecasting material flows—Case study for housing in The Netherlands

    Open Access•Daniel B Müller•Ecological Economics•2006

  • Analysis of material stock accumulation in China’s infrastructure and its regional disparity

    Open Access•Ji Han, Wei‐ning Xiang•Sustainability Science•2012

  • Impact assessment and policy learning in the European Commission

    Open Access•Thomas F Ruddy, Lorenz M Hilty•Environmental Impact Assessment…•2008

Unique citing works87
Citations per year7,91
Citation span2015 - 2026 (12)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 86

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae