Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions
A tutorial
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 23345495 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Jamie Lopez Bernal (0000-0002-1301-5653, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, autor correspondente), James Lopez Bernal, Steven Cummin (0000-0002-3957-4357, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Antonio Gasparrini (0000-0002-2271-3568, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine) |
| Ano | 2016 |
| Volume | 46 |
| Fascículo | 1 |
| Páginas | dyw098 |
| Data de publicação | 2016-06-09 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Sim |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | International Journal of Epidemiology (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 0300-5771 • E-ISSN: 1464-3685 |
| Editora | Oxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1093/ije/dyw098 |
| PMID | 27283160 |
| OpenAlex | W2416547532 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 377 |
| Referências citadas | 22 |
Interrupted time series (ITS) analysis is a valuable study design for evaluating the effectiveness of population-level health interventions that have been implemented at a clearly defined point in time. It is increasingly being used to evaluate the effectiveness of interventions ranging from clinical therapy to national public health legislation. Whereas the design shares many properties of regression-based approaches in other epidemiological studies, there are a range of unique features of time series data that require additional methodological considerations. In this tutorial we use a worked example to demonstrate a robust approach to ITS analysis using segmented regression. We begin by describing the design and considering when ITS is an appropriate design choice. We then discuss the essential, yet often omitted, step of proposing the impact model a priori. Subsequently, we demonstrate the approach to statistical analysis including the main segmented regression model. Finally we describe the main methodological issues associated with ITS analysis: over-dispersion of time series data, autocorrelation, adjusting for seasonal trends and controlling for time-varying confounders, and we also outline some of the more complex design adaptations that can be used to strengthen the basic ITS design.
A priori and a posteriori · Clinical study design · Econometrics · Interrupted time series · Machine learning · Psychological intervention · Public health · Regression · Regression analysis · Statistics · Time series · Advanced Causal Inference Techniques · Computer Science · Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life · Mathematics · Medicine · Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
Brazil towards malaria elimination
Maintenance of service delivery during medical countermeasures deployment
Quasi-experimental evaluation of national border closures on Covid-19 transmission
Improving tuberculosis case detection through contact risk stratification by Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra and spatial parameters
Impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the provision and uptake of services for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in Zimbabwe
Evaluating the impact of Covid-19 on routine childhood immunizations coverage in Zambia
Malaria incidence rose following the introduction of neonicotinoid-based IRS in selected districts in northern Ghana
The indirect impact of Covid-19 pandemic on inpatient admissions in 204 Kenyan hospitals
Predict the incidence of Guillain Barré Syndrome and arbovirus infection in Mexico, 2014–2019
Assessment of Postoperative Opioid Prescriptions Before and After Implementation of a Mandatory Prescription Drug Monitoring Program
Racial, Ethnic, and Sex Differences in Methadone-Involved Overdose Deaths Before and After the US Federal Policy Change Expanding Take-home Methadone Doses
Trends in Access to Medications for Opioid Use Disorder
Buprenorphine Use Trends Following Removal of Prior Authorization Policies for the Treatment of Opioid Use Disorder in 2 State Medicaid Programs
Effects of the Great Recession on suicide mortality in Chile and contributing factors
Can dynamic normative feedback enhance household kitchen waste separation? Evidence from two field intervention studies
Economic crisis, fiscal austerity policy, and health expenditure in Brazilian municipalities
Association of Preterm Births Among US Latina Women With the 2016 Presidential Election
The Art and Science of Urban Gun Violence Reduction
Impacts from delivering a whole health response strategy to domestic violence and abuse
Changes in preterm birth and stillbirth during Covid-19 lockdowns in 26 countries
Mass gatherings for political expression had no discernible association with the local course of the Covid-19 pandemic in the USA in 2020 and 2021
A global analysis of the impact of Covid-19 stay-at-home restrictions on crime
Exploring discussions of health and risk and public sentiment in Massachusetts during Covid-19 pandemic mandate implementation
Investigating site-level longitudinal effects of population health interventions
The impact of the Covid-19 lockdown on HIV care in 65 South African primary care clinics
Spatio-temporal evolution of financial sustainability in Chinese public hospitals
Impacts of the zero mark-up policy on hospitalization expenses of T2DM and cholecystolithiasis inpatients in SC province, western China
Effects of medical consortium policy on health services
Understanding post-pandemic metro commuting ridership by considering the built environment
Temporal Fluctuations of Suicide Mortality in Japan from 2009 to 2023 Using Government Databases
Tracking online searches for gambling activities and operators in the United Kingdom during the Covid-19 pandemic
The Covid-19 pandemic and disruptions to maternal and child health services in public primary care Malaysia
Impact of night travel ban on road traffic crashes and fatalities in Zambia
Phone-based psychosocial counseling for people living with HIV
Association of short-term exposure to air pollutants with mortality from respiratory diseases
Evaluation of changes in price, volume and expenditure of PD-1 drugs following the government reimbursement negotiation in China
Impact of Covid-19 on the utilisation of maternal and child health services in Peru at national and subnational levels
Impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on small vulnerable newborns
The impact of Covid-19 pandemic on reported tuberculosis incidence and mortality in China
The impact of moral framing in the 2016 U.S. presidential debates on moral judgments and self-transcendent emotions in tweets
Utilization of Integrated Child Development Services (ICDS) and its linkages with undernutrition in India
Impact of Anti-Tobacco Policy Measures on Acute Myocardial Infarction and Unstable Angina Hospitalization Rates in Three Russian Regions
The Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic and Lockdowns on Self-Poisoning and Suicide in Sri Lanka
Is There a Difference in the Utilisation of Inpatient Services Between Two Typical Payment Methods of Health Insurance? Evidence from the New Rural Cooperative Medical Scheme in China
Colorectal Cancer among Resettlers from the Former Soviet Union and in the General German Population
Impact of Covid-19 on the HIV Treatment Outcomes Among Men Who Have Sex with Men in South Africa After the Implementation of a Differentiated Service Delivery Model
Trends in Prescription Chronic Pain Medication Use before and during the First Wave of the Covid-19 Pandemic in Québec, Canada
Change of Use in Community Services among Disabled Older Adults during Covid-19 in Japan
Evaluation of Nationwide Oral Mucosal Screening Program for Oral Cancer Mortality among Men in Taiwan
Did Expanded Dental Insurance Reduce Out-of-Pocket Expenditures on Dental Care among Older Adults in Korea? Interrupted Time-Series Analysis
Opening a Large Delivery Service Warehouse in the South Bronx
Impacts of National Drug Price Negotiation on Expenditure, Volume, and Availability of Targeted Anti-Cancer Drugs in China
Effects of Data Aggregation on Time Series Analysis of Seasonal Infections
Impacts of Covid-19 Prevention and Control Measures on Asthma-Related Hospital and Outpatient Visits in Yichang, China
The Association between a Novel Baby-Friendly Hospital Program and Equitable Support for Breastfeeding in Vietnam
Impact of National Tobacco Control Policy on Rates of Hospital Admission for Pneumonia
Suicides Mortality of Unemployed Individuals Becomes a Serious Public Health Concern in Japan in Post-Covid-19 Pandemic Era
How Can One Strengthen a Tiered Healthcare System through Health System Reform? Lessons Learnt from Beijing, China
The Burden of Lip and Oral Cavity Cancer Among Women Across 204 Countries and Territories in the Context of the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control
Improving Access to Healthcare in Sierra Leone
Human Resources in Primary Health-Care Institutions before and after the New Health-Care Reform in China from 2003 to 2019
Real-World Effectiveness in Hypertension and Hyperlipidemia Collaborative Management between Pharmacies and Primary Care in Portugal
The Association between the Australian Alcopops Tax and National Chlamydia Rates among Young People—an Interrupted Time Series Analysis
Effects of a Risk-Based Licensing Scheme on the Incidence of Alcohol-Related Assault in Queensland, Australia
Impact of New Bed Assignment Information System on Emergency Department Length of Stay
Evaluation of Covid-19 Mitigation Policies in Australia Using Generalised Space-Time Autoregressive Intervention Models
Social, economic, and political events affect gender equity in China, Nepal, and Nicaragua
Impact of randomised w mel Wolbachia deployments on notified dengue cases and insecticide fogging for dengue control in Yogyakarta City
The role of implementation science training in global health
The Impact of Drought on HIV Care in Rural South Africa
The Impact of the Swedish Care Coordination Act on Hospital Readmission and Length-of-Stay among Multi-Morbid Elderly Patients
Does capitation prepayment based Integrated County Healthcare Consortium affect inpatient distribution and benefits in Anhui Province, China? An interrupted time series analysis
Impact of a Comprehensive Tobacco Control Package on Trends in Hospital Admissions for Depression in Beijing, China
An evaluation of Chile’s Law of Food Labeling and Advertising on sugar-sweetened beverage purchases from 2015 to 2017
The Covid‐19 pandemic and residential mobility intentions in the United States
Preventing outlaw biker crime in the Netherlands or just changing the dark figure? Estimating the impact of the Dutch whole-of-government approach on outlaw biker crime using interrupted time series analysis
Impact of community and provider-driven social accountability interventions on contraceptive uptake in Ghana and Tanzania
Counting the savings
Effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on healthcare utilization among older adults with cardiovascular diseases and multimorbidity in Indonesia
Interrupted time series analysis to evaluate the impact of Covid-19-pandemic on the incidence of notifiable infectious diseases in the Lazio region, Italy
The impact of China's universal two-child policy on total, preterm, and multiple births
Excess mortality during the Coronavirus disease pandemic in Korea
Association of China’s two-child policy with changes in number of births and birth defects rate, 2008–2017
Methodological barriers to studying the association between the economic crisis and suicide in Spain
The effect of average temperature on suicide rates in five urban California counties, 1999–2019
Effects of Covid-19, control measures, and program adaptation on prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission service uptake in Central Region, Uganda
Effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on utilization of essential health services in Iran evidence from an interrupted time series analysis
The effects of pricing policy on the prices and supply of low-cost medicines in Shandong, China
A tale of two times
The impacts of mask-wearing regulations on stroke morbidity and mortality
Translating policy into health outcomes
Effects of air pollution control policies on intracerebral hemorrhage mortality among residents in Tianjin, China
Assessing the impact of Covid-19 on HIV and hepatitis B testing in Western Iran
An interrupted time series analysis of trends in opioid-related emergency department visits from pre-Covid-19 pandemic to pandemic, from the Canadian Hospitals Injury Reporting and Prevention Program
The effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on the maternal mortality rate and the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goal in Brazil
Longitudinal impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the development of mental disorders in preadolescents and adolescents
Impact of a performance monitoring intervention on the timeliness of Hepatitis B birth dose vaccination in the Gambia
Effectiveness of employer financial incentives in reducing time to report worker injury
Trends in smoking-related diseases by socioeconomic position following a national smoking ban in 2007
The speed of adoption of new drugs and prescription volume after the amendments in reimbursement coverage
The Value of Interrupted Time-Series Experiments for Community Intervention Research
Time series regression studies in environmental epidemiology
Regression based quasi-experimental approach when randomisation is not an option
Segmented regression analysis of interrupted time series studies in medication use research
Framework for design and evaluation of complex interventions to improve health
Alternatives to randomisation in the evaluation of public health interventions
Evidence-Based Public Health
| Obras citantes distintas | 377 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 37,7 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2016 - 2026 (11) |
| Velocidade de citação | current |
| Altamente citado | Sim |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 152 |