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Global sea level linked to global temperature

Dados Bibliográficos

ID23375658
AutoresMartin Vermeer (0000-0003-3107-6342, Department of Surveying, Helsinki University of Technology, P.O. Box 1200, FI-02150, Espoo, Finland; and), Stefan Rahmstorf (0000-0001-6786-7723, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A62, 14473 Potsdam, Germany)
Ano2009
Volume106
Fascículo51
Páginas21527-21532
Data de publicação2009-12-22
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0027-8424 • E-ISSN: 1091-6490
EditoraNational Academy of Sciences (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1073/pnas.0907765106
PMID19995972
PMCIDPMC2789754
OpenAlexW2065232353
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas75
Referências citadas23

We propose a simple relationship linking global sea-level variations on time scales of decades to centuries to global mean temperature. This relationship is tested on synthetic data from a global climate model for the past millennium and the next century. When applied to observed data of sea level and temperature for 1880–2000, and taking into account known anthropogenic hydrologic contributions to sea level, the correlation is >0.99, explaining 98% of the variance. For future global temperature scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fourth Assessment Report, the relationship projects a sea-level rise ranging from 75 to 190 cm for the period 1990–2100.

Climate change · Climatology · Economics · Geography · Global change · Global climate · Global temperature · Global warming · Physical geography · Sea level · Sea level rise · Variance (accounting) · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Geology · Geophysics and Gravity Measurements · Oceanography · Scientific Research and Discoveries

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Obras citantes distintas75
Citações por ano4,69
Intervalo de citações2010 - 2025 (16)
Velocidade de citaçãorecent
Altamente citadoNão
Tipos de citaçãoNeutras: 69
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