Beyond Predictions
Biodiversity Conservation in a Changing Climate
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 23376165 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Terence P Dawson (0000-0002-4314-1378, University of Dundee), Stephen T Jackson (0000-0002-1487-4652, University of Wyoming), Joanna I House (0000-0003-4576-3960, QUEST, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, UK.), I Colin Prentice (0000-0002-1296-6764, University of Bristol), Georgina M Mace (0000-0001-8965-5211, Imperial College London, autor de correspondencia) |
| Año | 2011 |
| Volumen | 332 |
| Número | 6025 |
| Páginas | 53-58 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2011-04-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Science (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 0036-8075 • E-ISSN: 0193-4511 |
| Editorial | American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1126/science.1200303 |
| PMID | 21454781 |
| OpenAlex | W2117930979 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 76 |
| Referencias citadas | 70 |
Climate change is predicted to become a major threat to biodiversity in the 21st century, but accurate predictions and effective solutions have proved difficult to formulate. Alarming predictions have come from a rather narrow methodological base, but a new, integrated science of climate-change biodiversity assessment is emerging, based on multiple sources and approaches. Drawing on evidence from paleoecological observations, recent phenological and microevolutionary responses, experiments, and computational models, we review the insights that different approaches bring to anticipating and managing the biodiversity consequences of climate change, including the extent of species’ natural resilience. We introduce a framework that uses information from different sources to identify vulnerability and to support the design of conservation responses. Although much of the information reviewed is on species, our framework and conclusions are also applicable to ecosystems, habitats, ecological communities, and genetic diversity, whether terrestrial, marine, or fresh water.
Biodiversity · Biology · Climate change · Ecosystem · Environmental resource management · Geography · Habitat · Psychological resilience · Resilience (materials science) · Vulnerability (computing) · Computer Science · Ecology · Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies · Environmental Science · Plant and animal studies · Species Distribution and Climate Change
Late Holocene climate-induced forest transformation and peatland establishment in the central Appalachians
Biogeography of Pleistocene conifer species from the Ziegler Reservoir fossil site, Snowmass Village, Colorado
Terminal Pleistocene change in mammal communities in southeastern Washington State, USA
The Neotoma Paleoecology Database, a multiproxy, international, community-curated data resource
O Novo Arranjo de Pesquisa e Inovação – Napi Desenvolvimento Sustentável da Região Trinacional
Planejamento territorial sustentável para a Região Trinacional
A geração e a distribuição de riquezas na Região Trinacional
Paradiplomacia transfronteiriça na Região Trinacional
Top 40 questions in coupled human and natural systems (CHANS) research
Lattice-work corridors for climate change
Contested natures
Broad-scale assumptions on available pasture resources and reindeer’s habitat preferences shown to be decoupled from ecological reality of arctic-alpine landscapes
As particularidades da Região Trinacional a partir de sua gente
Wildlife Equity Theory for Multispecies Tourism Justice
Change!
Global Biodiversity Change
Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere
Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity
Status and Ecological Effects of the World’s Largest Carnivores
Rewilding
Ecosystem vulnerability to extreme climate in coastal areas of China
Shifting climate and the associated impacts on regional biodiversity
Patterns of regional site index across a North American boreal forest gradient
Adapting to rates versus amounts of climate change
Novel Index for bioclimatic zone-based biodiversity conservation strategies under climate change in Northeast Asia
Disproportionate magnitude of climate change in United States national parks
Assessing habitat risk from human activities to inform coastal and marine spatial planning
Socio-Economic Vulnerability to Climate Change in Rural Areas in the Context of Green Energy Development—A Study of the Great Masurian Lakes Mesoregion
A global early warning system for predicting exposure of biodiversity to extreme heat
Green Equals Green? The Divergent Policy Logics of Climate and Biodiversity Governance
Addressing sustainable urban flood risk
Evaluating what matters
Quantifying the impact of climate change on enteric waterborne pathogen concentrations in surface water
Climate change and freshwater ecology
Interactions between climate change and land use change on biodiversity
Climate change vulnerability assessment of species
Is climate-smart conservation feasible in Europe? Spatial relations of protected areas, soil carbon, and land values
Pest outbreak distribution and forest management impacts in a changing climate in British Columbia
Alpine aquatic ecosystem conservation policy in a changing climate
The effect of visitor motivation on the success of environmental education at the Toronto Zoo
Paleoenvironmental Reconstruction from Faunal Remains
Governance Pathways to Sustainable Development
Climate and human induced 2000-year vegetation diversity change in Yunnan, southwestern China
The effect of local land-use changes on floristic diversity during the past 1000 years in southern Sweden
Vegetation diversity in response to monsoonal variability in the Eastern Himalaya, India over the past ~13 000 yrs
Modern pollen – vegetation – plant diversity relationships across large environmental gradients in northern Greece
Local path dependence of U.S. socioeconomic exposure to climate extremes and the vulnerability commitment
How robust are global conservation priorities to climate change
Defining and observing stages of climate-mediated range shifts in marine systems
Floristic diversity in the transition from traditional to modern land-use in southern Sweden a.d. 1800–2008
Introduction
Determinants of Risk
Paleozoology and Paleoenvironments
The role of monitoring, documentary and archival records for coastal shallow lake management
Performance of Two Hydrological Models in Predicting Daily Flow under a Climate Change Scenario for Mountainous Catchments in Northwestern Costa Rica
Performing weeds
Unveiling anthropogenic disturbance effects on tropical tree communities
To change or not to change? Perceived psychological barriers to individuals’ behavioural changes in favour of biodiversity conservation
Trust in researchers and researchers' statements in large carnivore conservation
A new Taymyr mammoth skeleton and its palaeobiological significance
Assessment of Above‐Ground Biomass and Soil Organic Carbon Stock Using Taxonomical and Functional Trait Diversity and Management Implications for Land Management in Degrading Temperate Forests of Himalaya
Late Holocene vegetation diversity change and potential response to climate variations on the northern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau
Impacts of palaeoclimate change 60 000–8000 years ago on humans and their environments in Europe
Quantitative pollen-based reconstruction of the vegetation diversity in response to the late-Holocene climate change near Karwar, south-west coast of India
Ecosystem Impacts of Geoengineering
Habitat distribution modelling to identify areas of high conservation value under climate change for Mangifera sylvatica Roxb. of Bangladesh
Climate Change Estimates Surpass Rates of Climatic Niche Evolution in Primates
Pathways through the Landscape in a Changing Climate
Eels, Beavers, and Horses
Green infrastructure has weak conceptual links with efficient biodiversity conservation
Assessing climate change adaptation progress in Canada's protected areas
The vulnerability of tropical peatlands to oil and gas exploration and extraction
Renegotiating nature in the Anthropocene
Reflexões sobre a gestão ambiental das Unidades de Conservação no estado do Amapá
Spatial prioritization for biodiversity conservation in a megadiverse country
Madagascar
Novel methods improve prediction of species’ distributions from occurrence data
Ecological responses to recent climate change
Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century
Rise and Fall of the Beringian Steppe Bison
Predicting species distribution
A new scenario for the Quaternary history of European beech populations
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises
Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions
Extinction risk from climate change
A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science
| Obras citantes distintas | 76 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 5,07 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2011 - 2026 (16) |
| Velocidad de citación | current |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 63 |