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Clinical Versus Mechanical Prediction

Bibliographic Data

ID23658403
AuthorsPaul M Spengler (0000-0001-9539-4214, Ball State University, corresponding author)
Year2012
Publication date2012-09-26
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeOTHER
VenueHandbook of Psychology, Second Edition (JOURNAL)
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/9781118133880.hop210002
OpenAlexW1522282290
ISBN9781118133880
LanguageEN
References cited185

This chapter compares and contrasts the relative utility of clinical and mechanical methods of prediction. Claims about the robustness of mechanical prediction are countered by recent meta-analyses demonstrating a modest improvement in judgment accuracy using mechanical formulas. Findings about clinical judgment are reviewed, including recent meta-analyses from the Meta-Analysis Clinical Judgment project showing a modest increase in judgment accuracy with increases in clinical and educational experience. These and other findings are placed in the context of over 50 years of debate about the relative utility of clinical judgment versus mechanical prediction. The conclusion reached is that the study of clinical judgment versus mechanical prediction has not optimally developed and that the field needs an infusion of new questions and areas of study to further develop.

Clinical judgment · Context (archaeology) · Geography · Medical physics · Meta-analysis · Robustness (evolution) · Clinical practice guidelines implementation · Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills · Computer Science · Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life · Medicine · Psychology

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