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A New Look into Fiscal Countercyclicality

Expectations, Shocks, and the Business Cycle

Bibliographic Data

ID24044867
AuthorsJoão T Jalles (0000-0002-7171-5076, corresponding author)
Year2020
Volume76
Issue3
Pages240-265
Publication date2020-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueFinanzArchiv (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0015-2218 • E-ISSN: 1614-0974
PublisherMohr Siebeck (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1628/fa-2020-0006
OpenAlexW3092183744
LanguageEN
Citations received1

We provide a positive analysis of fiscal stabilizers by focusing on a heterogeneous sample of 84 countries between 1980 and 2015. We add to the literature by: (i) assessing fiscal cyclicality across business cycles' turning points; (ii) allowing for expectations to play a role; (iii) differentiating the effects stemming from demand and supply shocks. We find that fiscal countercyclicality is sizable across the world, particularly during recessions. Allowing for future expectations about fiscal dynamics enhances the degree of fiscal countercyclicality. Automatic stabilizers are an important component of fiscal stabilization. The fiscal response to demand shocks is higher than to supply shocks.

Business cycle · Economics · Fiscal policy · Keynesian economics · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

  • Revisiting the countercyclicality of fiscal policy

    Open Access•João T Jalles, Youssouf Kiendrebeogo et al.•Empirical Economics•2024

Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,5
Citation span2024 - 2024 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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