Extreme weather and human capital formation
Evidence from Qing China
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 24227479 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Weilong Li (0000-0001-8878-1718), Hua Liao (0000-0002-4835-927X), Meixuan Teng |
| Year | 2027 |
| Volume | 210 |
| Pages | 107587 |
| Publication date | 2027-02-01 |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | World Development (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0305-750X • E-ISSN: 1873-5991 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.worlddev.2026.107587 |
| OpenAlex | W7221726846 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 43 |
Weather shocks can constrain educational investment and human capital formation. In Qing China, education spending rose and fell with weather-sensitive farm income. Using a two-century panel (1646–1904) covering 234 prefectures, we find that a drought occurring one year before the examinations and additional droughts within the past five years reduce jinshi (the highest degree in the imperial examination system) density by approximately 6 % and 2.6 % per period, respectively. Adaptive measures such as the introduction of sweet potatoes, savings from surplus years, and flexible pricing mechanisms prove effective in mitigating drought effects. For robustness, we proxy regional recording capacity with the word count of meteorological entries and augment the baseline with controls for social unrest and epidemic shocks, with results remaining stable. By bringing long-run historical evidence to bear, this study enriches the literature on how extreme weather affects human capital formation.
civil service examinations · drought · education investment · Epidemics · extreme weather events · Farm income · flexible pricing · human capital accumulation · Ipomoea batatas · Jinshi · Qing China · Social unrest · weather records · weather shocks · Climate change impacts on agriculture · Economic Growth and Productivity · Historical Economic and Social Studies
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| Highly cited | No |
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