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The Costs of Major Wars

The Phoenix Factor

Bibliographic Data

ID3133677
AuthorsA F K Organski (University of Michigan), Jacek Kugler (0000-0003-4628-7433)
Year1977
Volume71
Issue4
Pages1347-1366
Publication date1977-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Political Science Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/1961484
OpenAlexW4230517164
LanguageEN
Citations received26
References cited14

A major unexplored area in the field of international politics is the consequences of major war for members of the international system in terms of power lost or gained. This paper explores these shifts of power among neutrals, winners, and losers as a result of these wars, using a sample of 32 cases and time series analysis. The findings register unexpected but systematic patterns after major conflicts; while winners and neutrals are affected marginally by the conflict, losers' powers are at first eroded. Over the long run (15-20 years), though, the effects of the loss dissipate; losers accelerate their recovery and soon resume antebellum status. It is this phenomenon that the authors call the phoenix factor

Development economics · Economics · Phenomenon · Phoenix · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Power (physics · Sample (material · History · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Political Conflict and Governance

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Unique citing works26
Citations per year0,79
Citation span1993 - 2025 (33)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 26

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