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The Effect of Intensive Margin Changes to Task Content on Employment Dynamics over the Business Cycle

Bibliographic Data

ID3262988
AuthorsMatthew Ro (0000-0002-7806-3138, Matthew Ross is a Research Assistant Professor at the Wagner Graduate School of Public Service, New York University, corresponding author)
Year2021
Volume74
Issue4
Pages1036-1064
Publication date2021-08-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueIndustrial and Labor Relations Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0019-7939 • E-ISSN: 2162-271X
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0019793920910747
OpenAlexW3011247221
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited23

Previous empirical studies investigating the employment impact of technological change have relied on cross-sectional measures of occupational tasks. Here, the author links microdata on individual workers to panel data on occupational tasks while controlling for individual unobservables. In examining the association between routine and abstract tasks and employment transitions, he finds new and economically important evidence that changes to tasks within occupations are strongly related to variation in the transition rates to non-employment and to different occupations. Consistent with recent work focused on technological change during the Great Recession, within-occupation increases in routine tasks are found to increase outgoing transition rates but these effects are concentrated during periods of economic turmoil. The results also show that increases in abstract tasks are associated with decreases in the outgoing transition rates, but this relationship is relatively invariant to business cycle conditions

Business cycle · Demographic economics · Econometrics · Economics · Great recession · Labour economics · Macroeconomics · Microdata (statistics) · Panel data · Recession · Sociology · Technological change · Transition (genetics) · Variation (astronomy) · Demography · Economic Growth and Productivity · Employment and Welfare Studies · Labor market dynamics and wage inequality

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Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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