Party Systems and Electoral Volatility in Latin America
A Test of Economic, Institutional, and Structural Explanations
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3288558 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Kenneth M Roberts (0000-0001-6325-6351), Erik Wibbels (0009-0007-6723-3414) |
| Year | 1999 |
| Volume | 93 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 575-590 |
| Publication date | 1999-09-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Political Science Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/2585575 |
| OpenAlex | W2152682034 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 279 |
| References cited | 60 |
Three different theoretical explanations are tested for the exceptionally high level of electoral volatility found in contemporary Latin America: economic voting, institutional characteristics of political regimes and party systems, and the structure and organization of class cleavages. A pooled cross-sectional time-series regression analysis is conducted on 58 congressional elections and 43 presidential elections in 16 Latin American countries during the 1980s and 1990s. Institutional variables have the most consistent effect on volatility, while the influence of economic performance is heavily contingent upon the type of election and whether the dependent variable is operationalized as incumbent vote change or aggregate electoral volatility. The results demonstrate that electoral volatility is a function of short-term economic perturbations, the institutional fragilities of both democratic regimes and party systems, and relatively fluid cleavage structures
Democracy · Econometrics · Economics · Latin Americans · Operationalization · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Presidential system · Volatility (finance · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Politics and Society in Latin America
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| Unique citing works | 279 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 11,16 |
| Citation span | 2001 - 2026 (26) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 276 |