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For What It's Worth

Historical Financial Bubbles and the Boundaries of Economic Rationality

Bibliographic Data

ID3399402
AuthorsWilliam Deringer (Massachusetts Institute of Technology, corresponding author)
Year2015
Volume106
Issue3
Pages646-656
Publication date2015-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueIsis (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0021-1753 • E-ISSN: 1545-6994
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/683529
PMID26685523
OpenAlexW2230436663
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited23

This essay is a historical and epistemological exploration of a traditionally crazy economic event: the financial bubble. Venturing into two different moments in the history of economic thinking, it investigates financial bubbles as epistemic frontiers, where rationality has reached its limits. The first half forays into late twentieth-century economics. Since 1980, an interpretive battle over the ir/rationality of bubbles has made those peculiar events, long beyond the pale of the rational, contested terrain on which the limits of rationality have been fought out. The essay's second half turns to one historical crisis, the South Sea Bubble. For contemporaries in 1720, the bubble was a different kind of epistemic frontier. As they tried to reckon what South Sea Company stock was worth, investors were confronted not with clearly rational or irrational choices but with a decidedly unruly collection of similarly plausible calculations. The story of 1720 suggests that studying historical confusion might be a profitable enterprise for scholars of the economic and epistemological past

Archaeology · Battle · Confusion · Economic bubble · Economics · Epistemology · Irrational number · Irrationality · Neoclassical economics · Positive economics · Rationality · Sociology · Economic theories and models · Economic Theory and Institutions · Economic Theory and Policy · Finance · History · Mathematics · Philosophy · Psychology

  • Wondrous Depths

    Open Access•Catherine L Evans•Law & Social Inquiry•2019

  • The use of 'bubble' as an economic metaphor in the news

    Open Access•Ángel Arrese•Language & Communication•2021

  • Wind Trade

    Inger Leemans, W J De Vries et al.•The Journal of Modern History•2022

  • Essays in positive economics

    Milton Friedman•Essays in positive economics•1953

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    Open Access•Larry Neal•Rise of Financial Capitalism•1991

  • How Reason Almost Lost Its Mind

    Paul Erickson, Judy L Klein et al.•How Reason Almost Lost Its Mind•2013

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    Carl Wennerlind•Casualties of Credit•2011

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    Donald Mackenzie, Donald A Mackenzie•An engine, not a camera•2006

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    Robert P Flood, Peter M Garber•Journal of Political Economy•1980

  • Overconfidence and Speculative Bubbles

    José Scheinkman, Jose A Scheinkman et al.•Journal of Political Economy•2003

  • The stock market bubble of 1929

    Open Access•J Bradford De Long, Andrei Shleifer•The Journal of Economic History•1991

  • The show that never ends

    Open Access•Simon Schaffer•The British Journal for the…•1995

  • Financial markets can go mad

    Open Access•Richard Dale, Richard S Dale et al.•The Economic History Review•2005

  • Rational Equity Valuation at the Time of the South Sea Bubble

    Paul Harrison•History of Political Economy•2001

  • Disagreement and the Stock Market

    Open Access•Harrison Hong, Jeremy C Stein•The Journal of Economic…•2007

Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,43
Citation span2019 - 2022 (4)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3
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