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Leaving terrorism behind? The role of terrorist attacks in shaping migration intentions around the world

Bibliographic Data

ID3634979
AuthorsKillian Foubert (United Nations University Institute on Comparative Regional Integration Studies, corresponding author), Ilse Ruyssen (0000-0002-8259-4492, United Nations University Institute on Comparative Regional Integration Studies, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume51
Issue15
Pages4030-4056
Publication date2025-09-14
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueNew Community (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0047-9586 • E-ISSN: 1469-9451
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/1369183x.2024.2332742
OpenAlexW4394767687
LanguageEN
References cited47

Terrorism globally yields severe consequences for individuals and societies, potentially driving migration within and across borders. Yet, empirical evidence on its causal impact remains limited. The contribution of our paper is twofold. First, we construct various indicators of terrorist activity at a fine level of spatial and temporal granularity, which allow to accurately identify individuals’ exposure to terrorist threat. Second, we use these geo-localised indicators to empirically analyse the role of terrorist attacks in shaping internal and international migration intentions for 133 countries between 2007 and 2015. Our results indicate that terrorist attacks spur both internal and international migration intentions, though the effect is stronger for the latter. The effect on international migration intentions is linked to the intensity of attacks, rather than their frequency. Furthermore, the impact varies based on individual and country characteristics

Economics · Political economy · Political science · Terrorism · Computer Science · Law · Migration, Health and Trauma · Migration, Refugees, and Integration · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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