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Prospect Precocity and University Choice

Evidence from One-and-Done Talent in College Basketball

Bibliographic Data

ID3756978
AuthorsSteven B Caudill (Florida Atlantic University, Boca Raton, FL, USA), Steven Caudill (0000-0003-3388-153X, Florida Atlantic University), Richard Cebula (0000-0002-0867-4400, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA), Franklin G Mixon (0000-0001-9998-7412, Columbus State University, Columbus, GA, USA, corresponding author)
Year2025
Publication date2025-09-27
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Behavioral Scientist (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0002-7642 • E-ISSN: 1552-3381
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/00027642251366057
OpenAlexW4414564774
LanguageEN
References cited29

This study examines the impact of precocity on the university choices made by college basketball prospects. More specifically, it investigates the university and coach-related factors that lead to successful recruiting of one-and-done players in order to shed light on the decision-making process that they utilize in their preparation for a professional basketball career. Probit models utilizing panel data covering the life of the NBA's collective bargaining agreement establishing the one-and-done rule suggest that employment of successful coaches, particularly those with coaching experience in the NBA, increases the probability a university will attract one-and-done talent. Additionally, universities with a rich heritage in men's basketball, and those that have produced collegiate stars and NBA prospects, are most successful in attracting these precocious prospects

Athletes · Basketball · Coaching · Order (exchange) · Probit · Probit model · Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies · School Choice and Performance · Sports Analytics and Performance

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Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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