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Spatial Polarization of Presidential Voting in the United States, 1992-2012

The "Big Sort" Revisited

Bibliographic Data

ID3775482
AuthorsRon Johnston (0000-0003-3031-8573, University of Bristol), David Manley (0000-0003-1864-5141, University of Bristol), Kelvyn Jones (0000-0001-8398-2190, University of Bristol)
Year2016
Volume106
Issue5
Pages1047-1062
Publication date2016-09-02
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAnnals of the American Association of Geographers (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2469-4452 • E-ISSN: 2469-4460
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/24694452.2016.1191991
OpenAlexW2466260544
LanguageEN
Citations received43
References cited49

Much has been written in recent years about the claimed polarization of the U.S. electorate, with substantial differences as to whether there has been greater spatial polarization, at several geographical scales, over recent decades. To assess the veracity of those alternative views, a bespoke data set showing percentage support for the Democratic Party's presidential candidates at the county, state, and divisional scales has been analyzed using a robust, statistically based measure of polarization and segregation. The ecological results provide clear and compelling evidence of a trend toward greater polarization across the nine census divisions, across the forty-nine states within those divisions, and across the 3,077 counties within the states—with strong evidence that the differences over time at the last of those scales are highly statistically significant. Within those general trends, polarization has been greater in some states than others and also within some states more than others—identifying additional geographies calling for further research

Census · Geography · Political science · Politics · Population · Presidential system · Sociology · Voting · Demography · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Social Media and Politics · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies

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Unique citing works43
Citations per year4,3
Citation span2016 - 2026 (11)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 34

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