Climatology and Trends of Tornado-Favorable Atmospheric Ingredients in the United States
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3775771 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Todd W Moore (0000-0001-8600-5555, Fort Hays State University), Jennifer M St Clair (0000-0002-3272-2775, Mid Atlantic Regional Air Management Association), Michael P Mcguire (0000-0001-7585-8018, Towson University) |
| Year | 2022 |
| Volume | 112 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 331-349 |
| Publication date | 2022-02-17 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Annals of the American Association of Geographers (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2469-4452 • E-ISSN: 2469-4460 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/24694452.2021.1910479 |
| OpenAlex | W3168904744 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 74 |
Tornadoes cause numerous fatalities and injuries each year in the United States. Understanding the geographic distribution of tornado risk and how it changes over time is critical to our ability to communicate risk and heighten public awareness and preparation—all part of our attempt to reduce the number of tornado-related fatalities and injuries. Tornadoes are most common when certain atmospheric conditions are met, namely, in a humid, unstable atmosphere with vertical wind shear. In this study, we generate seasonal climatologies and track seasonal changes of these atmospheric conditions. Each of these atmospheric conditions is found to change in different ways, creating unique spatiotemporal combinations. For example, wind shear and moisture increased in winter in the Midwest and Mid-South along with tornado counts. In spring, instability, wind shear, and moisture increased by various amounts through the Midwest and Mid-South. In addition to changes in the mean state of atmospheric conditions, trends herein show that variability is also changing. Notable changes include increases in the variability of convective available potential energy in the western portions of the north and south Great Plains in spring and summer and an increase in the variability of wind shear in the Midwest and Mid-South in fall. This study illustrates that atmospheric ingredients interact in complex ways. When considered with other studies, this study also shows that changing atmospheric conditions could be contributing to changes in tornado activity in the United States
Atmospheric instability · Atmospheric sciences · Climatology · Geography · Meteorology · Severe weather · Storm · Tornado · Wind shear · Wind speed · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Geology
North American Regional Reanalysis
Estimates of the Regression Coefficient Based on Kendall's Tau
Nonparametric Tests Against Trend
Historical Analysis of U.S. Tornado Fatalities (1808–2017)
Assessment of NWS County Warning Area Tornado Risk, Exposure, and Vulnerability
Finescale Assessment of Mobile Home Tornado Vulnerability in the Central and Southeast United States
Do We Know Our Own Tornado Season? A Psychological Investigation of Perceived Tornado Likelihood in the Southeast United States
Rising Variability in Thunderstorm-Related U.S. Losses as a Reflection of Changes in Large-Scale Thunderstorm Forcing
The Decreasing Population Bias in Tornado Reports across the Central Plains
Evaluating tornado casualty rates in the United States
Attribution of extreme weather and climate‐related events
Daily tornado frequency distributions in the United States
Forecaster Perceptions and Climatological Analysis of the Influence of Convective Mode on Tornado Climatology and Warning Success
Unusually Devastating Tornadoes in the United States
| Unique citing works | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,67 |
| Citation span | 2023 - 2025 (3) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |