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The Price (and Costs) of Macroeconomic Stability in Peru

Some Lessons on the Implications of FDI-driven Growth

Bibliographic Data

ID3883734
AuthorsSamuele Bibi (0000-0002-9010-0368, Aalborg University), Sebastian Valdecanto (0000-0003-4232-4778, Aalborg University), Sebastian Valdecantos
Year2023
Volume54
Issue5
Pages1136-1168
Publication date2023-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueDevelopment and Change (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0012-155X • E-ISSN: 1467-7660
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/dech.12793
OpenAlexW4386995193
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited23

In the period 2000-2019, Peru enjoyed sustained GDP growth and a long period of macroeconomic stability; as a result, poverty was reduced markedly in comparison to the 1980s and early 1990s, when the country faced severe recessions and hyperinflation. This positive economic performance coincided with the implementation of a mainstream macroeconomic framework which, alongside favourable external conditions, allowed for continuous external financing of current account deficits, mainly through foreign direct investment (FDI). Against the background of current debates regarding the resurgence of debt crises and the advocacy of FDI as a way to avoid such crises, this article uses balance of payments and international investment position statistics to assess whether Peru's acquired macroeconomic stability can be deemed sustainable. Drawing on the contributions of the Latin American structuralist school and more recent analyses that have raised concerns, the article shows that Peru's external position has taken on a Ponzi profile, casting doubt on the idea that FDI is a superior way of external financing compared to external debt. It concludes with a discussion of the social and environmental implications of Peru's widely praised macroeconomic framework, highlighting the limits that peripheral economies face when their growth relies excessively on external financing

Economics · Foreign direct investment · International economics · Macroeconomics · Monetary policy · Price of stability · Stability (learning theory) · Economic Theory and Policy · Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year1,5
Citation span2024 - 2026 (3)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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