From Demographic Transition to Fertility Boom and Bust
Iran in the 1980s and 1990s
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3885249 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Hassan Hakimian (0000-0002-3863-5103, City, University of London, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2006 |
| Volume | 37 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 571-597 |
| Publication date | 2006-05-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Development and Change (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0012-155X • E-ISSN: 1467-7660 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/j.0012-155x.2006.00491.x |
| OpenAlex | W2150943474 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 3 |
| References cited | 18 |
Although it is widely recognized that demographic transition is not an uninterrupted process, demographers and population economists have treated short-term swings in fertility with a measure of curiosity. Iran's experience of population growth after the Revolution in 1979 points to a double paradox of a steep and unprecedented surge in population growth in the 1980s followed by a swift restoration of fertility decline in the 1990s. Both periods have been characterized by extensive socio-economic and institutional changes combined with radical and far-reaching sways in Iran's post-revolutionary population policy. This article applies standardized decomposition analysis to separate out and quantify the proximate components of change in the crude birth rate during these two fertility 'boom' and 'bust' phases. The aim is to ascertain to what extent structural/demographic or behavioural factors can explain the dynamics of change in fertility and population growth in Iran since the late 1970s. Our findings point to a hitherto neglected role of population momentum in initiating the 'Islamic baby boom' as well as a more limited role for population policy in explaining the genesis(rather than the momentum) of both boom and bust phases
Baby boom · Birth rate · Boom · Bust · Demographic dividend · Demographic economics · Demographic transition · Development economics · Economics · Family planning · Fertility · Population · Population growth · Population momentum · Sociology · Total fertility rate · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Global Maternal and Child Health
Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia
The Formal Dynamics of Controlled Populations and the Echo, the Boom and the Bust
Population, Factor Movements and Economic Development. Studies Presented to Brinley Thomas
The European Experience of Declining Fertility, 1850-1970
Population Change in Iran, 1966-86
The economic explanation of fertility changes in the United States
State Policies and the Birth Rate in Egypt
Aiming at a moving target
The Relevance of the 'Easterlin hypothesis' and the 'new home economics' to fertility movements in Great Britain
The Cohort Approach to Population Growth
Readings in Population Research Methodology
The Relevance of the `Easterlin Hypothesis' and the `New Home Economics' to Fertility Movements in Great Britain
Demographic Transition Theory
Readings in Population Research Methodology
Cultural Dynamics and Economic Theories of Fertility Change
The Onset of Fertility Transition
| Unique citing works | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,17 |
| Citation span | 2008 - 2026 (19) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 3 |